Morning Bid: Good is bad? Depends on who or what you are:
reuters.com/markets/global-markets-view-europe-2022-11-17/
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| Last Updated | Nov 17 22 |
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The economy grew a disappointing 1.6% in Q1. What does it mean for interest rates?
usatoday.com/story/money/2024/04/25/gdp-report-first-quarter/73437532007/
Quick Glance: Unlikelihood of Fed Rate Cut Before Elections Disrupts Markets
- Investors cast doubt on a Fed rate cut before September.
- Expectations are now fully priced in for a rate cut on November 6-7.
- The shift in market expectations stemmed from inflation and growth data.
- There is now an estimated 75 percent likelihood of a Fed rate cut by September.
Fed Interest-Rate Cut Is Not Likely Until End of Year, Raphael Bostic Reiterates: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said he’s comfortable ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/bostic-says-fed-can-be-patient-cut-not-likely-until-end-of-year
Paid articlePaid
Fed’s Raphael Bostic Sees One Rate Cut, But Open to Changing View: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic reiterated his expectation for one ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-09/fed-s-bostic-sees-one-cut-but-left-door-open-to-changing-view
Paid articlePaid
Stock market today: US stocks mixed ahead of GDP data, fresh earnings: Meta Platforms will report earnings after the closing bell, with Microsoft and Alphabet on ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-economy-outlook-gdp-earnings-q1-tech-rally-2024-04
Consumer prices rose 3.5% from a year ago in March, more than expected: The consumer price index in March was expected to increase 3.4% from a year ago ...
cnbc.com/2024/04/10/cpi-inflation-march-2024-consumer-prices-rose-3point5percent-from-a-year-ago-in-march.html
Morning Bid: Recoiling oil and dollar sow calm as tech earnings loom: A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-view-usa-2024-04-18/
Stocks could jump 13% even with dimming rate-cut outlook: Fundstrat: The S&P 500 could end the year at 5,700 even if the outlook for Fed rate cuts doesn't ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-fed-rate-cut-outlook-inflation-sp500-rally-fundstrat-2024-4
Fed’s Bostic Expects One Rate Cut This Year, in Fourth Quarter: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said it will likely be appropriate to ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-03/fed-s-bostic-expects-one-rate-cut-this-year-in-fourth-quarter
Paid articlePaid
Veteran fund manager delivers blunt warning on stocks: Here's what could happen to the stock market next.
thestreet.com/investing/stocks/veteran-fund-manager-delivers-blunt-warning-on-stocks
Bridgewater’s Bob Prince says Fed rate-cutting hopes are ‘off track’: Influential investor says US inflation and growth are not at levels where interest rates ...
ft.com/content/680c17d1-0d55-4697-aff8-7dcca8c06679
Employment Report March 2024: No Reason For Fed To Cut Rates: March's robust nonfarm payroll growth and unexpected increases in wages and hours worked may signal ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4682356-employment-report-march-2024-no-reason-for-fed-to-cut-rates
Paid articlePaid Futures tread higher ahead of latest inflation test: U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday in the lead up to a crucial inflation reading that could ...
reuters.com/markets/us/futures-tread-higher-ahead-latest-inflation-test-2024-04-10/
Fed’s Bostic Now Anticipates Just One Rate Cut This Year: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic says he now projects just one interest-rate ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-22/fed-s-bostic-now-anticipates-just-one-rate-cut-this-year
Rupee may slide to record low despite dollar fall post Powell's comments: The Indian rupee may drop to a record low at the open on Thursday despite Federal ...
reuters.com/markets/currencies/rupee-may-slide-record-low-despite-dollar-fall-post-powells-comments-2024-04-04/
Fed's Goolsbee says housing price pressures pose biggest inflation risk: The largest impediment to the U.S. central bank's efforts to return inflation to its 2% ...
reuters.com/markets/us/feds-goolsbee-says-housing-price-pressures-pose-biggest-inflation-risk-2024-04-04/
Investors wrongfooted as ‘higher for longer’ rates return to haunt markets: Analysts tear up interest rate forecasts as inflation proves more stubborn than most ...
ft.com/content/49a21c3f-5a99-4f76-96f6-11899057378a
Powell says the Federal Reserve still sees rate cuts this year; election timing won't affect decision
pbs.org/newshour/politics/powell-says-the-federal-reserve-still-sees-rate-cuts-this-year-election-timing-wont-affect-decision
Quick Glance: Expectations of Interest Rate Cuts in 2024
- Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed at Stanford University that the central bank anticipates interest rate cuts to continue this year without specifying a timeline.
- Emphasizing independence from politics, the Fed maintains its outlook despite recent reports not significantly altering their perspective.
- Stronger economic indicators have led some analysts to speculate that rate cuts may not occur this year, causing market unease.
- Despite economic data uncertainties, Powell and other Fed officials foresee a potential policy rate reduction at some point this year, likely towards the end of the year.
Fed officials consider leaving rates higher for longer: Following higher than expected inflation and labor market readings in January and February on the tail ...
thehill.com/business/4572776-fed-officials-consider-leaving-rates-higher-for-longer/
Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals rate cuts aren’t imminent: The Federal Reserve has been keen on paying attention to investors’ expectations on interest rates ...
cnn.com/2024/03/29/business/jerome-powell-interest-rates-federal-reserve/
Paid articlePaidQuick Glance: US February Inflation Data Aligns with Fed's Expectations, Powell States
- The latest U.S. inflation data aligns with what the Federal Reserve wants to see, according to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data released on Friday matched expectations and showed less of a slowdown than last year. However, Powell emphasized that the February report did not undermine the Fed's baseline outlook.
- Some details of the PCE data showed improvements in inflation aspects considered important by the Fed, even though the overall numbers showed little progress in the first two months of the year. Last week, the Fed kept its benchmark overnight interest rate steady at 5.25%-5.50% and narrowly confirmed the baseline projection of a 0.75 percentage point rate decrease by the end of this year.
- Powell has had to reconcile expectations for rate cuts with data indicating a slowdown, if not a halt, in the improvement of inflation numbers in recent weeks. He stated that recent high inflation does not alter the overall narrative of easing price pressures, but acknowledged that the recent data cannot be completely dismissed as a sign of slowed progress.
Key inflation report may derail interest-rate cuts: Stocks could slump if this report shows inflation heating up.
star-telegram.com/news/business/article287456840.html
10-year Treasury yield little changed after touching 2024 high: The 10-year Treasury note yield was near flat on Wednesday despite rising earlier.
cnbc.com/2024/04/03/us-treasury-yields-in-focus-as-investors-track-economic-data.html
Morning Bid: Japan, China rein in buck as quarter nears end: A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-view-usa-2024-03-25/
JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon delivers stark warning on inflation, economy: 'We may be entering one of the most treacherous geopolitical eras since World War II ...
thestreet.com/investing/stocks/jpmorgan-ceo-jamie-dimon-issues-stark-warning-on-inflation-and-the-economy
Quick Glance: Jamie Dimon warns of potentially prolonged high rates
- JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon warns in his annual letter to investors of potentially prolonged higher inflation and interest rates due to high government spending.
- Dimon mentioned that the economy is being fueled by government deficit spending and past stimuli, which could lead to potentially stickier inflation and higher rates.
- Financial markets have significantly reduced their expectations for the number of expected rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, with only two quarter-point cuts planned in 2024.
- Dimon also warns of the risks of the private credit market boom and emphasizes that regulations may increasingly focus on this market, warning of geopolitical risks due to events like Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals rate cuts aren’t imminent: The Federal Reserve has been keen on paying attention to investors’ expectations on interest rates ...
cnn.com/2024/03/29/business/jerome-powell-interest-rates-federal-reserve/
Paid articlePaid Here’s why the Fed doesn’t see a US recession in coming years: America’s central bank doesn’t see any signs of a recession on the horizon. Not this year ...
cnn.com/2024/03/24/economy/stocks-week-ahead-fed-recession-coming-years/
Paid articlePaid Fed rate cut outlook: AI mania raising risk of no cuts in 2024: "We are absolutely in an AI bubble, and the side effect of that is that when tech stocks go up ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/fed-rate-cuts-outlook-economy-inflation-ai-stock-market-rally-2024-3
Fed Meeting Live Updates: Bank Expected to Keep Interest Rates Steady, Hint at Future Cuts
nytimes.com/live/2024/03/20/business/fed-meeting-interest-rates
Growing Share of US Workers Get a Pay Freeze in Atlanta Fed Data: Most US workers have been getting pay hikes that exceed the rate of inflation in recent months ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-05/growing-share-of-us-workers-get-a-pay-freeze-in-atlanta-fed-data
Paid articlePaid
February Inflation Data Could Be Key to Future Path of Interest Rates: Rising gasoline prices could bring a hotter monthly number for February while the ...
usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2024-03-11/february-inflation-data-could-be-key-to-future-path-of-interest-rates
Quick Glance: Inflation Decline and Consumer Impact
- Inflation in Germany continues to decline, primarily due to cheaper energy prices. Experts predict a further decrease in the year ahead, but with potential challenges. Higher inflation rates diminish consumer purchasing power.
- In February, energy and fuels decreased in price, while food prices increased. Services also became more expensive. Consumer prices rose by 0.4 percent compared to the previous month.
- The German government forecasts rising consumer prices and wage increases above the inflation rate. The expectation is that employees will spend the money and boost private consumption. However, the Bundesbank President warns against premature interest rate cuts.
- Despite the decline in inflation, the Bundesbank cautions against premature interest rate cuts. The European Central Bank aims for price stability in the medium term. Higher interest rates can curb demand but also burden the economy.
Fed’s Raphael Bostic Says Third-Quarter Rate Cut to Likely Be Followed by Pause: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said he expects the ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-04/fed-s-bostic-says-third-quarter-cut-likely-followed-by-pause
Paid articlePaid Fed projections to show if rate cut outlook stays intact through strong data: No one expects the Federal Reserve to change interest rates at next week's policy ...
reuters.com/markets/us/fed-projections-show-if-rate-cut-outlook-stays-intact-through-strong-data-2024-03-11/
Bostic Repeats Fed Easing Will Likely Be Appropriate This Summer: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic reiterated his view that it will ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-29/bostic-repeats-fed-easing-will-likely-be-appropriate-this-summer
Side hustles, overemployment, job-switching: Increasing your income isn't always worth it
businessinsider.com/gig-economy-overemployment-quit-job-increase-income-earnings-side-hustle-2024-3
Paid articlePaid This Week's GDP And PCE Reports May Bring More Pain To The Market: First quarter GDP and March PCE reports could lead to higher rates, a stronger dollar ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4684930-gdp-pce-may-bring-more-pain-to-market
Paid articlePaid
Q2 Update: 2024 Market Outlook on Stocks and the Economy: Our expectations for the US equity market, plus top stock picks for the quarter.
morningstar.com/markets/q2-update-2024-outlook-stock-market-economy
Q2 Update: 2024 Market Outlook on Stocks and the Economy: Our expectations for the US equity market, plus top stock picks for the quarter.
morningstar.com/markets/q2-update-2024-outlook-stock-market-economy
Biden’s Battle Against Inflation Gets Tougher With Latest Data: A third consecutive month of higher-than-expected inflation data dealt a double-barreled blow to ...
dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-04-10-bidens-battle-against-inflation-gets-tougher-with-latest-data/
Fed's Bostic: No urgency to cut interest rates given US economy's strength: The U.S. Federal Reserve is under no urgent pressure to cut interest rates given a ...
reuters.com/markets/us/feds-bostic-no-urgency-cut-interest-rates-given-us-economys-strength-2024-03-04/
Fed's Raphael Bostic Makes the Case to Hold Off on Interest-Rate Cuts: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said there’s no rush to cut ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-15/bostic-says-may-take-some-time-to-know-inflation-heading-to-2
Paid articlePaid
Atlanta Fed President Bostic says inflation fight justifies risks to economy: Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic says "it is premature to claim victory in the ...
ajc.com/news/atlanta-news/atlanta-fed-president-bostic-says-inflation-fight-justifies-risks-to-economy/GIDHUILX3VCC7GDWSFVEBUCMNE/
Paid articlePaid S&P 500 Pulls Back As Fed Officials Get Lost On Road To Rate Cuts: The S&P 500 pulled back from last week's record-high close. On Monday, signs that oil prices ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4682664-s-and-p-500-pulls-back-as-fed-officials-get-lost-on-road-to-rate-cuts
Paid articlePaid Fed Chair Powell testifying to House on Wednesday. What investors are expecting: Markets are intent on getting more clarity about how the central bank plans on ...
cnbc.com/2024/03/05/-what-to-watch-with-fed-chair-powell-heading-to-capitol-hill-wednesday.html
Fed’s Raphael Bostic Supports Starting Interest-Rate Cuts in the Summer: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said he supports beginning ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-16/fed-s-bostic-favors-starting-interest-rate-cuts-in-the-summer
Paid articlePaid Morning Bid: Risk rally on hold, bitcoin excepted: A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland
reuters.com/markets/europe/global-markets-view-europe-2024-03-05/
CNBC Daily Open: Hot inflation data but could have been worse: January' inflation came in hot and that wasn't great for the overall economic picture.
cnbc.com/2024/03/01/cnbc-daily-open-hot-inflation-data-but-could-have-been-worse.html
Stock Markets Today: Fed Rates, AAPL AI tools, Oxford Street, Private Credit: Get up to speed with what the markets are monitoring
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-02-16/stock-markets-today-fed-rates-aapl-ai-tools-oxford-street-private-credit
Dollar firms as traders weigh economic data, yen fragile: The dollar firmed on Friday, on track for its fifth straight weekly gain, as investors assessed the ...
reuters.com/markets/currencies/dollar-steady-traders-weigh-economic-data-yen-fragile-2024-02-16/
How Magic Johnson’s Atlanta business footprint is growing: Magic Johnson made his name on the basketball court with a Hall of Fame career with the NBA’s Los ...
ajc.com/news/business/magic-johnson-is-a-billionaire-his-business-empire-has-a-major-focus-in-atlanta/QYGE5CNJDZF2JBPM6KAEMZQFXQ/
Fed’s Bostic Argues for Patience on Rate Cuts. Here’s His Case.: There’s no urgency for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and the battle with inflation ...
barrons.com/articles/feds-bostic-rate-cuts-inflation-3217398f
Paid articlePaid Stock market news today: Tech stocks power fresh records: Rising tech stocks took the Nasdaq index up to a record high and the S&P 500 closed above 5 ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-news-today-nasdaq-up-tech-rally-fed-rates-2024-3
Morning Bid: US tracking 3%+ growth; Apple downshifts, Kiwi surprise: A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-view-usa-2024-02-28/
Asian markets mixed as key US inflation data looms - Markets - The Jakarta Post: Asian markets mixed as key US inflation data looms - Markets - The Jakarta Post
thejakartapost.com/business/2024/03/25/asian-markets-mixed-as-key-us-inflation-data-looms.html
Fed officials expressed caution about lowering rates too quickly at last meeting, minutes show
cnbc.com/2024/02/21/fed-minutes-january-2024.html
Global stocks edge up in jittery trade, FX shifts unsettle traders: Global shares edged up on Tuesday, partially shrugging off mixed messages from US ...
gulftoday.ae/business/2024/03/26/global-stocks-edge-up-in-jittery-trade-fx-shifts-unsettle-traders
UK's FTSE 100 slip as investors in 'wait and see' mode ahead of US inflation data
reuters.com/world/uk/uks-ftse-100-edges-lower-miners-drag-2024-03-26/
US markets grapple with mysterious contradictions: Something is amiss in American financial markets. U.S. stocks hit new highs last week ...
reuters.com/breakingviews/us-markets-grapple-with-mysterious-contradictions-2024-02-13/
Stock market news today: hot inflation print ends 5-week win streak: Even though the market recovered from Tuesday's hiccup, investor gloom has knocked stocks ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-news-today-sp500-inflation-data-fed-rate-cuts-2024-2
Women Drive US Job Gains With More Entering Workforce
bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2024-02-02/us-employment-report-for-january
Quick Glance: Record Number of New Jobs in the US in January
- New data from the Labor Department shows that the US economy added 353,000 jobs in January, with the unemployment rate at 3.7 percent.
- The January jobs report far exceeded economists' expectations, who predicted a gain of 185,000 jobs and an unemployment rate of 3.8 percent.
- "The labor market is the little engine that could, and it kept chugging away in January," said John Leer, chief economist at Morning Consult.
- The surprisingly strong jobs report will exclude a rate cut in March and raises questions about how quickly the Fed will actually lower interest rates.
The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady but signals rate cuts may be coming
npr.org/2024/01/31/1227890390/federal-reserve-interest-rates-inflation-economy-recession-rate-cuts
Quick Glance: Labor Cost Data Signals Inflation Improvement
- Recent ECI data shows significant decline in labor cost growth, indicating easing inflation and a shift in the Fed's monetary policy.
- The Employment Cost Index (ECI), the Fed's preferred measure of labor costs, saw its smallest quarterly increase in over two years, signaling a positive change in the central bank's inflation fight.
- ECI data for the quarter suggests a cooling of inflationary pressures within the job market, crucial for the Fed's monetary policy decisions.
- The decline in labor cost growth supports the Fed's confidence that the current reduction in inflation is sustainable and signals a move toward more balanced labor market conditions.
Rate cuts likely won’t happen until the summer, Atlanta Fed chief says: Bumpy and slow is how a top Federal Reserve official sees inflation’s trajectory this ...
cnn.com/2024/02/12/economy/fed-bostic-rate-cuts/
Paid articlePaid
Murkier waters for the Fed: Data is sending mixed messages about whether continued expansion is in peril and whether inflation will continue its downward glide.
axios.com/2024/02/20/inflation-federal-reserve-data
Is the Good Economy a Mirage?: You may be feeling better about the economy, but that might not last much longer if inflation doesn’t fall further.
nymag.com/intelligencer/article/is-the-good-economy-a-mirage.html
S&P 500 Sets New Record High As Investors Potentially Shift Focus To Q2 2024: After weeks of hovering within easy striking distance of its old record high close ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4664197-s-and-p-500-sets-new-record-high-as-investors-potentially-shift-focus-to-q2-2024
Paid articlePaid
Investors may be getting the Federal Reserve wrong, again : Why expectations of imminent interest-rate cuts could be misplaced
economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/01/24/investors-may-be-getting-the-federal-reserve-wrong-again
Vonovia: As won, so lost: Vonovia shares fall after brief recovery on Fed concerns about rapid interest rate cuts.
deraktionaer.de/artikel/aktien/vonovia-wie-gewonnen-so-zerronnen-20352149.html
Investors may be getting the Federal Reserve wrong, again : Why expectations of imminent interest-rate cuts could be misplaced
economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/01/24/investors-may-be-getting-the-federal-reserve-wrong-again
Quick Glance: Inflation Slows, Economy in Focus
- Prices rose just 0.2% in December, in line with pre-pandemic levels and barely above the Fed’s 2% target.
- Core prices rose just 0.2% in December from the previous month and 2.9% from a year earlier - the smallest increase since March 2021.
- Data suggests the economy is achieving a 'soft landing,' with inflation returning to the Fed’s target without a recession.
- Over the past six months, prices are up just 1.9%, actually below the Fed’s 2% target.
Fed’s Raphael Bostic Repeats View Rate Cuts to Start in Third Quarter: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said he wants to see more ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-18/fed-s-bostic-reiterates-view-rate-cuts-to-start-in-third-quarter
Paid articlePaid
US job openings rise in December to highest level in 3 months: The number of available jobs in the U.S. rose more than expected in December ...
foxbusiness.com/economy/us-job-openings-rise-december-highest-level-3-months
Housing affordability near record low hits Black buyers particularly hard: Black buyers must navigate a drastically different landscape than in 2020 ...
chicagotribune.com/2024/01/31/housing-affordability-near-record-low-hits-black-buyers-particularly-hard/
The More It Drops, The More I Buy: Recent sell-off in utilities, financials, and precious metals stocks is due to rising treasury yields because of hawkish ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4663690-the-more-it-drops-the-more-i-buy
Paid articlePaid Watchdog flags conflict of interest issue in ex-Fed bank presidents' trading: The U.S. central bank's internal watchdog said on Monday the former presidents of ...
reut.rs/3vLBA5W
Fed Economist Says Final Leg of Inflation Fight Will Be Easier Than Expected: While some economists worry the US inflation fight may become more difficult as the ...
trib.al/TMB7rPb
GDP Growth Surged for a Strong Finish to 2023: The U.S. economy grew at a slower but solid clip as 2023 wound down, beating expectations for fourth-quarter ...
barrons.com/articles/us-economy-gdp-growth-report-today-b9df7126
Paid articlePaid Holiday Spending at Retailers Kept US Economy Humming: This is Washington Edition, the newsletter about money, power and politics in the nation’s capital. Today ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-01-17/holiday-spending-at-retailers-kept-us-economy-humming
Global Economy Latest: Fed Interest Rate Moves: I’m Chris Anstey, a senior economics editor in Boston, and today we’re looking at the big mistake the Fed wants ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-01-22/global-economy-latest-fed-interest-rate-moves
Interest rate outlook: Economist slashes rate cut prediction on good economy: "Based on data in recent months, we no longer feel it is appropriate to make a mild ...
businessinsider.com/interest-rates-outlook-federal-reserve-cut-predictions-strong-economy-gdp-2024-2
Paid articlePaid Stock market outlook: Recession could spark 40% stock plunge, market vet says: A slew of economic indicators are still in "deep recession territory ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-recession-economy-fed-inflation-ai-bubble-crash-2024-2
[CONTRIBUTION] Why rate cuts are to come later this year : In October of last year, the 10-year Treasury yield in the U.S. experienced a significant surge ...
koreatimes.co.kr/www/biz/2024/02/175_369258.html
![[CONTRIBUTION] Why rate cuts are to come later this year](/web/db/posts/43163/43163205.jpg)
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