business cycle contraction
sprout.link Dec 03
1 in 5 Adults Haven’t Had Sex in a Year, and the Reasons Are Pretty Telling: Sex statistics rarely stop you mid-scroll, but this one should. One in five adults ...
vice.com/en/article/1-in-5-adults-havent-had-sex-in-a-year-and-the-reasons-are-pretty-telling/
Germany's economy in recession: What we can learn from neighboring Poland: In Poland, there is a "spirit of optimism," says an expert. The recipe for ...
fr.de/wirtschaft/polen-schreibt-wirtschaftliche-erfolgsgeschichte-hier-kann-deutschland-abschauen-zr-94076774.html
OpinionTrump's nightmare is a US recession – this is what will cause it: The data coming out of America is looking worse and worse
inews.co.uk/opinion/trumps-nightmare-us-recession-what-will-cause-it-4081488
Treasury Secretary Denies Possibility Of Incoming Recession: 'I Am Very Confident About 2026'
huffpost.com/entry/treasury-secretary-denies-possibility-of-incoming-recession_n_69236472e4b0ba57449cf213
Ugly trends prove US economy close to recession: layoffs, unemployment: From homebuilding to trucking, major parts of the US economy are in deep trouble ...
businessinsider.com/recession-signs-industries-downturn-layoffs-unemployment-real-estate-restaurants-2025-11
US economy: These sectors are already showing signs of recession: At the moment, the US economy appears to be fine on the surface. But beneath the surface ...
businessinsider.de/wirtschaft/us-wirtschaft-diese-bereiche-zeigen-schon-anzeichen-einer-rezession/
Layoffs rise to recession-like levels through October, new report says: Layoffs are rising to recession-like levels, with U.S. employers announcing 1 ...
washingtonpost.com/business/2025/11/06/job-cuts-accelerate-october-layoffs-trump/
Economy: Recession over according to forecasts, but little growth.: The German economy is still struggling to gain momentum. Although the recession is coming to ...
zdfheute.de/wirtschaft/wirtschaft-deutschland-prognose-wirtschaftsweise-100.html
- BNN Bloomberg: Michael Davenport, senior economist at Oxford Economics, joins BNN Bloomberg to discuss Canadian GDP numbers.
bnnbloomberg.ca/video/shows/morning-markets/2025/10/31/canada-on-the-verge-of-a-recession-davenport/
Ministerium prognostiziert für nächstes Jahr bessere Beschäftigungslage – außer für Langzeitarbeitslose
yle.fi/a/74-20194111
Russia's economic crisis: Rail freight traffic slumps by 7 percent: Russia's rail freight transport slumps by 7 percent in 2025. Analysts speak of a “head-on ...
n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Russlands-Wirtschaftskrise-Schienengueterverkehr-bricht-um-7-Prozent-ein-article26147692.html
Michael Arougheti, Ares Management CEO, discusses the state of the economy during CNBC’s #DeliveringAlpha on Thursday saying, “People have been calling for a recession ... Show more
Bessent: Broader recession possible without more rate cuts: The Fed signaled the next rate cut isn't a sure thing
axios.com/2025/11/02/recession-bessent-fed-interest-rates
Bessent says high US interest rates may have caused housing recession: Parts of the U.S. economy, particularly housing, may already be in recession because of ...
reuters.com/business/bessent-says-high-us-interest-rates-may-have-caused-housing-recession-2025-11-02/
Narrowly avoiding recession: German economy stagnates in third quarter: The German economy did not grow in the third quarter. Gross domestic product stagnated at ...
n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Deutsche-Wirtschaft-stagniert-im-dritten-Quartal-article26130206.html
Key FactsGermany’s Economy Faces Stagnation and Structural Strains
Oct 30, 2025 · Reading time: ~45 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: zdfheute.de
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: zdfheute.de
- Germany’s GDP showed zero growth in the third quarter of 2025, narrowly avoiding a technical recession.
- Persistent issues like bureaucracy, expensive energy, and workforce shortages continue to hamper economic progress.
- Germany’s economic output lags behind France, Italy, and Spain, which have significantly exceeded their pre-pandemic performance.
- Expectations for 2026 focus on a 1.2% growth driven by increased government spending on defense and infrastructure projects.
The ongoing structural weakness of the German economy is the result of a toxic cocktail of domestic challenges and external factors that continue to undermine the competitiveness of many German companies, thereby impairing economic development in the country.— Galina Kolev-Schaefer, a professor at the Technical University of Cologne and economist at the Institute of the German Economy, describes the causes of the current economic situation in Germany.
AI is keeping the US economy out of a recession: Artificial intelligence is simultaneously "saving the day" and rewriting the rules.
finance.yahoo.com/news/ai-is-keeping-the-us-economy-out-of-a-recession-100012367.html
Strippers Reveal Recession Signs In Industry Downturn: "It’s bad. Real bad. Worse than it was in 2008, and that’s saying something. I stopped by my old club last ...
buzzfeed.com/jake_farrington/strippers-recession-indicator-reddit
"Young people can't afford Chipotle" would be one heck of a recession indicator. 😨
Read more: Chipotle stock craters as company says young people without jobs can't afford their food anymore
Top economist thinks two states will determine if US enters recession: Mark Zandi has been sounding the alarm for a potential recession all year ...
businessinsider.com/economic-outlook-new-york-california-economies-recession-mark-zandi-2025-10
Uhhh, So This Fox News Clip Has Everyone Saying A Recession Is Coming: "Why do consumers have to 'tighten their wallets,' Kayleigh?"
buzzfeed.com/mjs538/recession-indicator-clip
After chip crisis at VW: Germany now faces longest recession in history: The supply bottlenecks for Nexperia chips are not only causing problems for VW ...
berliner-zeitung.de/wirtschaft-verantwortung/nach-chipkrise-bei-vw-deutschland-droht-jetzt-laengste-rezession-der-geschichte-li.10002795
How long can the Russian economy continue to fund the frontline?: The Russian economy is balancing on the edge of recession, yet the war could go on for years ...
euronews.com/business/2025/10/28/how-long-can-the-russian-economy-continue-to-fund-the-frontline
Dow surges over 300 points as cooler inflation fuels Fed rate cut hopes: US market rises after softer inflation report; Dow up 385 points. CPI shows 3 ...
financialexpress.com/business/investing-abroad-dow-surges-over-300-points-as-cooler-inflation-fuels-fed-rate-cut-hopes-4020662/
Key FactsUS Inflation Hits 3% Mark in September
Oct 24, 2025 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: cnn.com
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: cnn.com
- Inflation in the United States reached 3% in September, the highest level since January 2025.
- Gas prices increased by 4.1%, marking the largest monthly rise since August 2023 and driving much of the overall increase.
- Core CPI, excluding food and energy, grew by 0.2% month-over-month in September.
- Rising costs caused the typical American household to spend $208 more monthly compared to the same time last year.
Trade, Covid, rare earths and a real danger of global recession: China has prepared for a confrontation with the United States that ultimately could lead to a ...
asiatimes.com/2025/10/trade-covid-rare-earths-and-immediate-risk-of-global-recession/
Nobel-Winning Economist Warns Trump’s Economy Is In ‘Worse Shape Than It Looks’: The economist becomes one of several to warn that Trump’s economic policy could ...
thedailybeast.com/nobel-winning-economist-paul-kruger-warns-trumps-economy-is-in-worse-shape-than-it-looks/
'Red Flag': Analysts Sound Major Alarms As AI Bubble Now 'Bigger' Than Subprime | Common Dreams
commondreams.org/news/artificial-intelligence-bubble
Trump’s Fresh Tariff Assault Threatens China’s Fragile Economy: Beijing was already seeing economic momentum slow before announcement of latest 100% tariff ...
wsj.com/economy/trade/trumps-fresh-tariff-assault-threatens-chinas-fragile-economy-d0b3a00d
Paid articlePaywall
22 states are in a recession or on the brink: Moody’s: It’s more sobering news for the economy as last week U.S. hiring plans fell to their lowest level since ...
newsnationnow.com/business/moodys-states-in-recession/
September, typical boom month for shipping, looks more like freight recession this year
cnbc.com/2025/10/07/shipping-freight-inventory-supply-chain-recession.html
Feel like you're in a recession? It could be where you live, economist says.: If you feel like you're in a recession, it could just be where you live ...
eu.usatoday.com/story/money/personalfinance/2025/10/10/california-new-york-decide-recession-states/86551228007/
Little snow, lots of heat: Glaciers continue to shrink: Glacier retreat at record speed: Why a snow-poor winter and heat waves are making the Swiss mountains ...
szbz.de/ueberregional/artikel/wenig-schnee-viel-hitze-gletscher-schrumpfen-weiter
Paid articlePaywall Should you be worried about a recession next year? Jim Cramer doesn't think so.
America are spending, but weak job market could still cause recession: Consumers are still spending like mad. But increasing unemployment and a decline in ...
businessinsider.com/recession-consumer-spending-uneployment-jobs-business-investment-real-estate-2025-10
OpinionAre Young People Having Enough Sex?: Jia Tolentino writes about the Gen Z sex recession and two new books, Louise Perry’s “A New Guide to Sex in the 21st ...
newyorker.com/magazine/2025/06/30/the-case-against-the-sexual-revolution-louise-perry-book-review-the-second-coming-carter-sherman
The resilient stock market may be keeping the economy out of a recession. Why that's a bad thing
cnbc.com/2025/09/27/wealth-effect-stock-market-recession.html
Are we in a recession? Yes — if you live in one of these 22 states.: Moody’s economist Mark Zandi warns the U.S. is close to a damaging economic contraction
marketwatch.com/story/are-we-in-a-reccession-yes-if-you-live-in-one-of-these-22-states-3947b4cd
Paid articlePaywall Recession warnings are looking flat wrong as consumers power the economy forward: New data out Friday confirms that consumers are still spending and businesses ...
axios.com/2025/09/26/inflation-pce-report-recession
Hot dogs, camping trips and cardboard boxes: What these non-scientific indicators tell us about the economy
edition.cnn.com/2025/09/30/economy/us-hot-dog-economic-indicator-recession
Deloitte forecast sees Canada avoiding technical recession this year: A new forecast by Deloitte Canada suggests the country will avoid a technical recession ...
bnnbloomberg.ca/business/economics/2025/09/29/deloitte-forecast-sees-canada-avoiding-technical-recession-this-year/
Moody’s economist: US avoids recession if well-to-do ‘keep spending’: Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi said Tuesday the U.S. economy will likely ...
thehill.com/business/economy/5506888-recession-risk-zandi-analysis/
U.S. credit scores suffer largest 2-year drop since Great Recession: FICO says the national average is slipping, but experts share steps you can take to boost ...
fastcompany.com/91405390/u-s-credit-scores-suffer-largest-two-year-drop-since-great-recession
Former Bank of Canada governor warns both Canada and the United States headed towards a recession
ctvnews.ca/politics/article/canada-and-us-sliding-in-the-direction-of-a-recession-poloz/
Recession and inflation: Prelude to the delicate metalworkers' wage negotiations
nachrichten.at/wirtschaft/rezession-und-inflation-auftakt-zur-heiklen-metaller-lohnrunde;art15,4088457
Paid articlePaywall AI hype is masking recession signals in the market: Investors need to diversify and hedge even as stock reach record highs.
axios.com/2025/09/15/ai-stocks-recession
Russia's Putin denies economy is stagnating, as evidence suggests otherwise: President Vladimir Putin denied on Friday that Russia's economy was stagnating ...
reuters.com/business/finance/russias-putin-denies-economy-is-stagnating-evidence-suggests-otherwise-2025-09-05/
Honey, we shrunk the kids: population fall : Also on the daily podcast: is AI woke and the reading recession
economist.com/podcasts/2025/09/16/honey-we-shrunk-the-kids-population-fall
Paid articlePaywall
OpinionCanada’s economy is bad. But the U.S. economy is worse: The data coming out of the U.S. suggest Canada may be better poised to withstand a slowdown
theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-canada-us-economy-inflation-interest-rates/
Kremlin chief contradicts minister: Putin smiles at economic issue: At the economic forum in Vladivostok, Putin smiles monosyllabically at his minister's ...
stern.de/politik/-njet----putin-belaechelt-wirtschaftsfrage-36033930.html
The Trump Recession Is Coming: The president’s assault on the independence of the Federal Reserve is only the latest of several reckless economic actions that ...
newrepublic.com/article/199657/trump-recession-coming
Is the US already in a recession?: For vast segments of the American economy it certainly feels that way
ft.com/content/e9be3e3f-2efe-42f7-b2d2-8ab3efea27a8
Trump moves to cut $5 billion in foreign aid, circumventing Congress: The president is using a controversial manoeuvre known as a pocket recession to cut ...
bbc.com/news/articles/cdj2vldpd1do
‘On the verge of recession:’ Trump tariffs slam Canada, new GDP numbers show: Canada’s second quarter GDP numbers come in worse than expected.
trib.al/X0Tq9IJ
Businesses bringing back recession specials could be the latest sign of deteriorating consumer sentiment
cnbc.com/2025/08/23/recession-specials-could-be-the-latest-sign-of-deteriorating-consumer-sentiment.html
Recession outlook: Mark Zandi on what he sees ahead for the US economy: Economist Mark Zandi has predicted the US economy is on the brink of a recession ...
businessinsider.com/recession-prediction-us-economy-mark-zandi-tariffs-immigration-trump-policy-2025-8
Trump’s redneck recession hits his working-class base the hardest: Despite stock market highs, the US president risks losing the base that voted him into office
telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/08/06/donald-trump-inspired-wall-street-boom-redneck-recession/
Trump Is Now Running the Worst Economy Since His Last Term in Office: The last three months have been brutal.
newrepublic.com/post/198723/trump-now-running-worst-economy-since-last-term-office
Recession is Still Coming, Warns Reagan Economic Adviser: Steve Hanke, a member of Ronald Reagan's Council of Economic Advisers, believes the U.S ...
newsweek.com/reagan-economist-warns-recession-coming-2111880
OpinionTrump's firing of his labor statistics chief is an ill-fated political maneuver: Trump's firing of BLS chief Erika McEntarfer over labor statistics could ...
msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-firing-bls-labor-statistics-mcentarfer-jobs-report-rcna222913
Key FactsIntegrity of Job Data Faces Political Challenges
Aug 5, 2025 · Reading time: ~45 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: wbur.org
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: wbur.org
- Former BLS commissioner William Beach states that employment figures are produced independently without commissioner interference to prevent political bias.
- President Trump's dismissal of Erika McEntarfer has undermined public confidence in the agency's impartiality.
- Allegations of rigged numbers overlook that data are based on extensive samples and refined with additional information over two months.
- Distrust in official labor statistics risks creating uncertainty for investors and business owners, potentially harming economic performance.
It's not possible and it's not possible by design. When I was commissioner, two years under Trump, two years under Biden, I was locked out of the process, as every commissioner prior to me was, of the preparation of these numbers.— William Beach, former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, addressing the impossibility of rigging job numbers.
The next jobs downturn could mean an AI-induced purge of millions of workers: When times get tough, companies are more likely to use technology to supplant ...
axios.com/2025/08/06/ai-recession-jobs-unemployment
The jobs report that enraged Trump was flashing a recession warning sign: The bad news in last Friday’s jobs report may have been overshadowed when President ...
edition.cnn.com/2025/08/05/business/jobs-report-recession-warning-sign
US economy on ‘precipice of recession,’ Moody’s chief economist warns: Zandi blamed the economic struggles on increasing “U.S. tariffs and restrictive ...
newsnationnow.com/business/your-money/us-economy-precipice-recession-moody-economist/
CBS News poll finds economy views improve slightly but outlook clouded by concern about price increases
cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-economy-views-improve-slightly/
'Brought to its knees': Why NZ can't shake the recession: New Zealanders were told to "survive til '25" for the economy to pick up ...
odt.co.nz/business/brought-its-knees-why-nz-cant-shake-recession-rnz
OpinionThe Panic That Wasn’t: Trump’s EU Trade Deal Casts April’s Tariff Freakout in a New Light
mediaite.com/opinion/the-panic-that-wasnt-trumps-eu-trade-deal-casts-aprils-tariff-freakout-in-a-new-light/
Why student unemployment is rising and what it could signal about a looming recession
cp24.com/news/canada/2025/07/13/why-student-unemployment-is-rising-and-what-it-could-signal-about-a-looming-recession/
UK economy shrinks for second month in a row after unexpected slump in May: It followed a 0.3 per cent contraction in April, when US president Donald Trump ...
independent.co.uk/news/business/uk-economy-gdp-stats-may-recession-b2787001.html
The dinner party audit: what does generosity look like during a cost of living crisis?
vogue.com.au/culture/features/dinner-parties-cost-of-living-crisis/news-story/304680b3328fc7eb418099fb226c88ac
Stagflation, recession, unemployment: Predictions from Apollo's top economist: There's still a 25% chance the US could enter a recession sometime in the next 12 ...
businessinsider.com/stagflation-recession-us-economy-inflation-unemployment-outlook-apollo-torsten-slok-2025-6
Putin warns his officials not to allow recession: The Russian leader said a recession “is not to be allowed under any circumstances,” during the St ...
politico.eu/article/putin-warns-officials-recession-russia-economy-war-ukraine/
Putin boasts about Russia’s economy despite recession fears: President Vladimir Putin on Friday hailed Russia’s economic outlook, saying it has managed to curb ...
ctvnews.ca/world/russia-ukraine-war/article/putin-boasts-about-russias-economy-despite-recession-fears/
Key FactsRussia Faces Economic Recession Amid War Inflation
Jun 19, 2025 · Reading time: ~45 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: ft.com
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: ft.com
- Economy minister Maxim Reshetnikov publicly acknowledged Russia’s economy is cooling after three years of conflict.
- Sustained high defense spending and tight central bank policies are limiting investment despite persistent inflation near 10%.
- The central bank maintains a 4% inflation target, even after recent interest rate cuts.
- President Putin calls for balanced economic growth and structural reforms amid ongoing challenges.
We all understand that fighting inflation is important. But we are simplifying the discussion a bit.— Maxim Reshetnikov, the economy minister, spoke at the economic conference in St. Petersburg about the challenges facing the Russian economy.
Looming recession: Russia's economy is deep in crisis: The desolate state of the Russian economy is now hard to hide. Citizens are mainly feeling the problems at ...
spiegel.de/wirtschaft/drohende-rezession-russlands-wirtschaft-steckt-tief-in-der-krise-a-020bee6f-9e10-482f-9f0f-9be457c4bd1f
Russian Minister Warns of Recession as Officials Spar on Economy: President Vladimir Putin’s top economic officials openly argued over the state of Russia’s ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-19/russian-officials-spar-over-whether-economy-cooling-or-in-crisis
Paid articlePaywallMost CEOs aren't expecting a recession anytime soon, survey finds: Business leaders are feeling more optimistic about the U.S. economy despite ongoing ...
cbsnews.com/news/the-recession-us-chief-executive-ceo-survey/
