business cycle contraction
Recession indicator with perfect track record flashes amid weak jobs data: Since 1976, every recession has been preceded by a disinversion of the yield curve ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/recession-indicator-perfect-track-record-flashes-yield-curve-spread-disinversion-2024-9
Dow drops more than 600 points as worries about the economy rattle Wall Street: U.S. stocks tumbled Tuesday to their worst day since an early August sell-off ...
pbs.org/newshour/economy/dow-drops-more-than-600-points-as-worries-about-the-economy-rattle-wall-street
6 weird indicators a recession could be coming: finance experts: Recessions are difficult to predict. For the less market-inclined money watcher ...
businessinsider.com/weird-indicators-a-recession-could-be-coming-finance-experts-2024-9
Anaemic economic growth sets the scene for election battleground: Australia’s annual growth rate slumped to the lowest in 33 years. How will Labor explain that ...
smh.com.au/politics/federal/anaemic-economic-growth-sets-the-scene-for-election-battleground-20240904-p5k7r5.html
Stock market outlook: Biggest risk this week is hot August jobs report: "Equities seem more excited about the cuts than concerned about a potential recession ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-biggest-risk-this-week-hot-august-jobs-report-2024-9
Mixed news on US jobs: Unemployment rate falls but hiring is slowing: The US economy was expected to have added 160,000 jobs last month with the unemployment ...
cnn.com/business/live-news/us-jobs-report-august-2024/
Quick Glance: Fed Officials Signal Openness to Rate Cuts
- Federal Reserve officials indicate potential for interest rate cuts if economic data supports such moves.
- Waller and Williams highlight a solid economy but note mixed signals from the labor market.
- The jobs report for August showed fewer jobs added than expected, raising recession concerns.
- Analysts believe market reactions predicting a 0.5 percentage point cut are exaggerated.
Kamala Harris is ahead of Donald Trump, but two big wildcards could up-end the US election race
abc.net.au/news/2024-08-28/kamala-harris-donald-trump-election-campaign-wildcards/104272992
Quick Glance: Harris Leads Trump: Two Risks for the 2024 Election
- Kamala Harris expressed optimism while accepting her presidential nomination, showing a slight lead in polls against Donald Trump.
- Economic uncertainties and a potential downturn in the U.S. economy could jeopardize her campaign, reminiscent of Barack Obama's situation in 2008.
- The immigration issue remains contentious for Harris as she seeks to balance border security with the humane treatment of asylum seekers.
- Political dynamics may shift rapidly, particularly if immigration numbers surge again.
Canadian dollar notches biggest monthly advance this year: The Canadian dollar held on to much of its monthly gain against its U.S. counterpart on Friday as ...
reuters.com/markets/currencies/canadian-dollar-notches-biggest-monthly-advance-this-year-2024-08-30/
Quick Glance: Canadian Dollar Achieves Largest Monthly Gain of 2023
- The Canadian dollar fell 0.1% against the U.S. dollar.
- In August, the loonie rose 2.3%, marking its largest monthly gain since December.
- Canada's GDP grew by 2.1% in the second quarter, exceeding expectations.
- Oil prices dropped by 2.8%, while Canadian bond yields increased.
Jim Chalmers had no way to sugar-coat the economy's GDP figure but there was also good news for the government
abc.net.au/news/2024-09-05/gdp-weak-no-way-to-sugar-coat-news-jim-chalmers/104311478
The rest of the world is cutting interest rates, so why aren’t we?: The latest national accounts show an economy on the edge of a recession ...
smh.com.au/business/the-economy/the-rest-of-the-world-is-cutting-interest-rates-so-why-aren-t-we-20240905-p5k81y.html
Why this US jobs report matters - and what to watch : The report is a key gauge of the US economy - a top issue in the presidential election.
bbc.com/news/articles/clyne60ln20o
ekathimerini.com 18h
European shares hit one-week high as ECB cuts interest rates: European shares jumped on Thursday after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates again ...
ekathimerini.com/economy/1248311/european-shares-hit-one-week-high-as-ecb-cuts-interest-rates/
Quick Glance: ECB Reduces Rates Again Amid Economic Struggles
- The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the second time in three months, lowering them to 3.5 percent to support the struggling economy.
- Inflation has slowed, prompting the bank to act amid weak growth and reduced household spending.
- Policymakers are cautiously adjusting rates to avoid inflation in the services sector, while growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025 have been slightly downgraded.
- The ECB also reduced two other key interest rates by 0.6 percentage points to improve short-term money market management.
4 reasons for positive stock market outlook amid recession fears: DB: The narrowness of the recent stock sell-off offers one reason to not panice yet ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/recession-alarm-fears-stock-market-selloff-jobs-cooldown-rate-cuts-2024-9
Quick Glance: Stock Market: Dow Rises by 484 Points
- The stock market experienced a significant rise on Monday as buyers rushed in after last week's losses.
- Both the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 increased by 1.2%, with all 11 sectors of the S&P 500 finishing in positive territory.
- Palantir and Dell boosted gains with their announcements of joining the S&P 500, with Palantir surging by 14.1%.
- Market participants are looking forward to the Consumer Price Index release on Wednesday, which might influence the Fed's interest rate decisions.
Summer of sport saves GDP from a slum in July as economy stalls: Flatlining economy in the month Labour came to power is a disappointing backdrop to preparations ...
standard.co.uk/business/gdp-sport-flatlining-economy-growth-b1181317.html
Quick Glance: Sporting Summer Shields UK Economy from Decline
- The UK economy stalled in July, despite a 0.5% growth over three months.
- Major sporting events like the Euros and Olympics helped maintain stability, while production and construction outputs declined.
- Chancellor Rachel Reeves highlighted the challenges ahead and the need for long-term investments to drive economic growth.
- Economic experts warn of potential stagnation and the impact of high interest rates on businesses and consumers.
This ‘Bond King’ Is Worried About a Recession. The Market Should Be, Too.: Gibson Smith, of Smith Capital, doubts the Fed can engineer a perfect soft landing ...
barrons.com/articles/bond-king-gibson-smith-fed-rate-cut-recession-markets-0d3c04b1
Paid articlePaywall
US Inflation Is ‘at Target,’ Blackstone CFO Michael Chae Says: Blackstone Inc. Chief Financial Officer Michael Chae said the firm is “cautiously optimistic about ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-11/blackstone-finance-chief-chae-says-us-inflation-is-at-target
How 'Briscoes Bloke' is making millions in a recession: When Rod Duke became the boss of the Briscoe Group in 1988, it was illegal to sell most things ...
odt.co.nz/business/how-briscoes-bloke-making-millions-recession
Oil prices fall to lowest level since 2021 on demand concerns: The demand outlook for oil is weakening as recession concerns mount in the US and China's future ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/oil-prices-outlook-supply-demand-break-down-record-us-production-2024-9
Germany and Tesla Pay Bonuses for Turning Up Amid Sickness Wave: Desperate employers are introducing attendance incentives but are short of options to deal with ...
bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-09-12/germany-and-tesla-pay-bonuses-for-turning-up-amid-sickness-wave
Paid articlePaywallBank of Canada to Start Jumbo Rate Cuts by December, CIBC Says: One of the country’s biggest lenders says the Bank of Canada will accelerate the pace of monetary ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-12/bank-of-canada-to-start-jumbo-rate-cuts-by-december-cibc-says
Paid articlePaywallAlmost every recession since 1955 has been preceded by an inverted curve, except recently when it inverted in 2022. Liz Capo McCormick explains what a yield ... Show more
Yield Curve: What Its Shape Says About US Economy, Recession Risk - Bloomberg
Yield Curve: What Its Shape Says About US Economy, Recession Risk - Bloomberg
What exactly is “recession pop”?: Is the revived, feel-good genre still about dancing our troubles away, or is there more to the musical phenomena than that?
vogue.com.au/culture/features/recession-pop/news-story/e69f2df8a36feffc07729fcfbc0f2fb2
Bitcoin Could Drop 20% After Fed Rate Cuts in Bearish Case, but Weak September Presents Buying Opportunity: Analysts
coindesk.com/markets/2024/09/03/bitcoin-could-drop-20-after-fed-rate-cuts-in-bearish-case-but-weak-september-presents-buying-opportunity-analysts/
Quick Glance: Bitcoin ETFs Experience Largest Outflows in Four Months
- On Tuesday, investors withdrew over $287 million from 11 U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs, marking the largest outflows since May.
- Fidelity led the redemptions with over $162 million sold from its FBTC fund, while Grayscale has seen net outflows exceeding $19.8 billion since January.
- The decline in Bitcoin prices, dropping from a peak of over $73,000 in March to around $58,400, contributed significantly to the loss in ETF assets under management.
- Institutional ownership of Bitcoin ETFs rose to 24% by the end of the second quarter, with Goldman Sachs investing $418 million in Bitcoin funds.
Goldman Sachs Strategists Say Stocks Unlikely to Sink Into Bear Market: US equities are unlikely to slump 20% or more as the risk of a recession remains low ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-10/goldman-strategists-say-stocks-unlikely-to-sink-into-bear-market
Late credit card, auto debt not a threat to consumers: BofA CEO: More credit card debt and car loans transitioned into late payment status last quarter ...
businessinsider.com/consumer-credit-card-debt-auto-loans-delinquency-economic-outlook-bofa-2024-9
Recession: Europe's industry is reducing its production: Economic researchers are lowering their forecasts. The downturn is now also clearly visible in the ...
diepresse.com/18858045/rezession-europas-industrie-faehrt-ihre-produktion-hinunter
The melting of prosperity - | this indicator shows that Germany is getting poorer
focus.de/finanzen/kommentar-die-wohlstands-schmelze-dieser-indikator-zeigt-dass-deutschland-immer-aermer-wird_id_260306549.html
Confidence in China from US firms at all-time low : Confidence among American businesses operating in China reached an all-time low as unrelenting geopolitical ...
wionews.com/business-economy/confidence-in-china-from-us-firms-at-all-time-low-758405
US Economy Is Reshaped by Covid-Fueled Dating Recession: Social scars linger, with 13 million extra singles, in ways that have implications for businesses from ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-10/us-economy-is-reshaped-by-covid-fueled-dating-recession
U.S. Recession Odds Remain Low. Don’t Worry About a Bear Market, Goldman Sachs Says.
barrons.com/articles/us-recession-stock-market-842ee573
Paid articlePaywallThe deepening housing market recession is weighing heavily on China. Years of oversupply in housing have been pushing home prices down for three years now ... Show more
Videos News - Latest Videos News, Breaking Videos News, Videos News Headlines | wionews.com
Videos News - Latest Videos News, Breaking Videos News, Videos News Headlines | wionews.com
Investors pile into Coca-Cola and Colgate as recession fears grow: Consumer staples sector outperforms broader market in recent weeks as investors hunt for ...
ft.com/content/c77e94a9-2dc0-4dad-bb1c-8db957f88640
UK GDP Data: Economy Unexpectedly Stagnated for a Second Month in July: The UK economy stagnated for a second month in July, suggesting that a rapid recovery ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-11/uk-economy-unexpectedly-stagnated-for-a-second-month-in-july
UK economy remains flat for second month running : GDP was unchanged after flat-lining in June, despite forecasts a 0.2 per cent increase.
businesspost.ie/news/uk-economy-remains-flat-for-second-month-running/
Paid articlePaywall
Why Low Layoff Numbers Don’t Mean the Labor Market Is Strong: Past economic cycles show that unemployment starts to tick up ahead of a recession ...
nytimes.com/2024/09/12/business/economy/layoffs-jobs-economy.html
Top Economist Backs Off Recession Call. Why He Made the ‘Very Difficult Decision.’
barrons.com/articles/recession-economist-ed-hyman-soft-landing-9be22692
Paid articlePaywall The 2 days that could sink Kamala Harris' campaign outside debate: October 4 and November 1 could be road bumps for the Harris campaign.
businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-campaign-recession-trump-election-jobs-report-labor-market-2024-9
SeekingAlpha Sep 09
Weekly Market Pulse: Questions: Markets have been unsettled over the last couple of months as we near a Fed easing cycle. Click to read.
seekingalpha.com/article/4719902-weekly-market-pulse-questions
Paid articlePaywall SeekingAlpha Sep 12
The Price Is Right To Buy Dollar General Stock: I avoided Dollar General stock before its crash, but its customers likely are facing recessionary headwinds now ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4720651-the-price-is-right-to-buy-dollar-general-stock
Paid articlePaywall Stagflation risk a possibility, JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon says: JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said the worst outcome for the US economy is stagflation ...
businessinsider.com/stagflation-economy-outlook-inflation-recession-risk-jpmorgan-ceo-jamie-dimon-2024-9
Investigations Into New York Mayor Adams' Aides, NYPD Chief, Explained: Plus: Using an AI bot to practice management skills, and how Americans’ social ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-09-10/investigations-into-new-york-mayor-adams-aides-nypd-chief-explained
Julius Baer’s Bitcoin Warning: Economic Challenges Ahead: The cryptocurrency market faces uncertainty as the 2024 US presidential election approaches and ...
riotimesonline.com/julius-baers-bitcoin-warning-economic-challenges-ahead/
Rachel Reeves’s doom and gloom outlook is already hindering the UK economy: What the Government is doing and what it threatens to do will inevitably make people ...
inews.co.uk/opinion/rachel-reeves-doom-gloom-outlook-hindering-economy-3272057
Why plunging crude oil prices make a US economic recession less likely: Cheaper energy reduces cost burdens in manufacturing, construction, and agriculture ...
businessinsider.com/next-us-recession-outlook-brent-global-oil-price-drop-opec-2024-9
SeekingAlpha Sep 07
August Jobs Report: The 25bps Vs. 50bps Question: The August jobs report was a mixed bag and failed to resolve the recession debate that July’s jobs report had ...
principalam.com/us/insights/macro-views/august-jobs-report-25bps-vs-50bps-question
Paid articlePaywall
A Recession Signal Is Flashing Red. Or Is It?: When the yield curve turns positive, the country is usually about to plunge into recession ...
wsj.com/economy/central-banking/a-recession-signal-is-flashing-red-or-is-it-da02b509
Why Nvidia triggered a stock market freakout: What does Nvidia’s massive stock sell-off tell us about the economy?
vox.com/artificial-intelligence/369974/nvidia-stock-chip-nasdaq-ai-tech-meta-microsoft-jensen-huang-doj
Quick Glance: Nvidia Stock: Decline or Buying Opportunity?
- Nvidia's stock fell over 13% due to weak economic data and uncertainties following positive quarterly results.
- BlackRock strategists questioned whether AI revenues would justify high investments, while US antitrust authorities are investigating Nvidia.
- Despite the drop, the long-term AI hype remains intact, positioning Nvidia as a key player in this sector.
- Analysts recommend buying the stock, noting a decrease in the price-to-earnings ratio compared to the past five years, along with expectations of significant revenue and profit growth.
SeekingAlpha Sep 11
Yield Curveball: 2 Defensive Stocks For A Potential Recession: A disinverting yield curve, volatile markets, and ambiguous economic data sparked recession ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4720350-yield-curveball-2-defensive-stocks-for-a-potential-recession
Paid articlePaywall Euro’s Downfall: Morgan Stanley’s Bold 7% Drop Forecast: In the ever-shifting landscape of global finance, a new forecast has caught the attention of economists ...
riotimesonline.com/euros-downfall-morgan-stanleys-bold-7-drop-forecast/
Oil prices tumble on growth worries, stocks diverge - Markets & Companies - Business
english.ahram.org.eg/News/531638.aspx
CNA Sep 08
Asian markets can recover and rise further despite volatility: Analysts: "There's still a case for investors to stay invested and remain medium-term ...
channelnewsasia.com/singapore/asian-markets-stocks-nvidia-opportunities-4590676
US economy outlook: All the data points to soft landing, no recession: "The bottom line is that the US economy is not in a recession, and there are no signs of a ...
businessinsider.com/us-economy-outlook-data-points-to-soft-landing-no-recession-2024-9
SeekingAlpha Sep 11
Global Ship Lease: EPS Outlook Improving, But Cyclical Pressures Mount: Global Ship Lease's stock has risen due to geopolitical tensions, but faces risks from an ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4720334-global-ship-lease-stock-eps-outlook-improving-but-cyclical-pressures-mount-reiterate-hold
Paid articlePaywall Why a top-performing fund manager is now in on gold, out on AI: A top fund manager is keeping cash on hand in this rocky market as skepticism about artificial ...
businessinsider.com/investing-strategy-top-fund-manager-gold-stocks-ai-artificial-intelligence-2024-9
Slowing US economy rings recession alarm bells: Where the US goes, so goes the rest of the world – and the country's latest jobs data has added to fears it ...
newsroom.co.nz/2024/09/09/slowing-us-economy-rings-recession-alarm-bells/
Paid articlePaywallUS economy remains solid, heading toward soft landing, says Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen
wionews.com/business-economy/us-economy-remains-solid-heading-toward-soft-landing-says-treasury-secretary-janet-yellen-756996
SeekingAlpha Sep 10
Manufacturing Weakness Could Signal Trouble For The Economy: U.S. economy faces potential turbulence with weakening manufacturing, a softening labor market ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4720149-manufacturing-weakness-could-signal-trouble-for-the-economy
Paid articlePaywall Stock market today: August jobs miss drives jump in big rate cut odds: "Overall, still consistent with an economy experiencing a soft landing rather than ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-today-august-jobs-report-miss-big-rate-cut-2024-9
SeekingAlpha Sep 10
$FDIV - FDIV: Designed For A Recession, But Underperforming For Now. FDIV: Designed For A Recession, But Underperforming For Now | Seeking Alpha #trading #markets #investing
SeekingAlpha Sep 10
McKesson: The Correction Is Not Over: McKesson declined about 20% in the last few weeks and sentiment suddenly turned. Find out why I think the correction in MCK ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4720122-mckesson-the-correction-is-not-over
Paid articlePaywallFed's potential 50-basis point’s rate cut: Analysts weigh in on economic implications
wionews.com/business-economy/feds-potential-50-basis-points-rate-cut-analysts-weigh-in-on-economic-implications-757308
SeekingAlpha Sep 10
This Is Just Normal Seasonal Jitters: The pundits that pronounced on TV that the yen carry trade was 50% to 75% unwound last month better be right ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4720069-this-is-just-normal-seasonal-jitters
Paid articlePaywallWhy the Reserve Bank will be forced to cut rates before year's end: With growth at the slowest pace in Australia since the recession of the early 1990s ...
abc.net.au/news/2024-09-10/why-the-rba-will-be-forced-to-cut-before-year-end/104327060
Buenos Aires Herald Sep 09
Milei responds to Cristina Kirchner’s criticism of the economy: ‘Write this down, Cris’
buenosairesherald.com/politics/milei-responds-to-cristina-kirchners-criticism-of-the-economy-write-this-down-cris
Yeni Şafak Sep 09
Oil prices rise on hopes of US rate cuts, Middle East tensions: Data fueling recession fears in US limits rise in oil prices by reducing market players' demand ...
yenisafak.com/en/news/oil-prices-rise-on-hopes-of-us-rate-cuts-middle-east-tensions-3690664
Inflation is down and a recession is unlikely. What went right?: A few years ago, nobody thought that a soft landing was possible
economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/08/29/inflation-is-down-and-a-recession-is-unlikely-what-went-right
Paid articlePaywall
‘Fake’: Fury as ‘toxic’ company collapses: An employee at a collapsed retailer has lifted the lid on the “toxic” work environment in the lead up to the company’s ...
news.com.au/finance/business/retail/staff-member-speaks-out-after-tango-caravan-collapses/news-story/f7360fe691018303cfd791612ef5b047
Stock Markets Today: Recession angst, ECB decision looms, luxury sector pain: Get up to speed with what the markets are monitoring
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-09-09/stock-markets-today-recession-angst-ecb-decision-looms-luxury-sector-pain
Stock market crash: 20% drop ahead amid rate cuts, history shows : "Prior bull steepening environments have not been friendly to buy and hold stock investors ...
businessinsider.com/stock-market-crash-fed-rate-cuts-recession-sp500-outlook-gold-2024-9
Reserve Bank deputy governor says NZ rate hikes had intended effect - but there were some surprisesrecession-and-resilience/ZV443VTZB5HIDLOF6AMOLMCIO4/">Reserve Bank’s Christian Hawkesby on rates, recession and resilience - NZ Herald
August Jobs Report Comes In Worse Than Expected As Labor Market Stays Chilly: It’s the worst August for job growth since 2017.
forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/09/06/august-jobs-report-us-added-142000-jobs-in-key-labor-market-update/
SeekingAlpha Sep 03
Gold Shines Bright As Inflation Cools Down And Rates Fall: As gold trades at $2,500, a record high, its path ahead faces challenges related to the upcoming FOMC ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4718669-gold-shines-bright-as-inflation-cools-down-and-rates-fall
Paid articlePaywall SeekingAlpha Sep 07
Fed Easing: Fear Rate Cuts In A Recession, Not In A Soft Landing: With the Federal Reserve poised to begin a rate-cutting cycle at its September 18 meeting ...
principalam.com/us/insights/equities/fed-easing-fear-rate-cuts-recession-not-soft-landing
Paid articlePaywall
US Fed Rate Cut: How have markets reacted to rate cuts historically?: US Fed plans to cut the Fed funds rate starting in September, but the speed and extent of ...
financialexpress.com/business/investing-abroad-fed-rate-cut-historical-analysis-of-market-reaction-to-us-fed-rate-cuts-3603799/
SeekingAlpha Sep 08
TLT: Positioned For Upside During Fed Rate Cuts And Recession Risks: Key indicators like Fed rate pivots, insider buying, job openings, and yield curve ...
seekingalpha.com/article/4719791-tlt-positioned-for-upside-during-fed-rate-cuts-recession-risks
Paid articlePaywallNew Zealand Housing Construction Slump Highlights Recession Risk: New Zealand residential construction slid to a four-year low last quarter ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-06/new-zealand-housing-construction-slump-highlights-recession-risk
IndieWire Sep 02
'2073' Trailer: Genre-Bending Documentary Captures Our Future: Blending narrative and documentary, British filmmaker Asif Kapadia explores what lies ahead if our ...
indiewire.com/news/trailers/2073-trailer-genre-bending-documentary-1235042642/
Quick Glance: Kapadia's 2073: A Dystopian Sci-Fi Warning
- Asif Kapadia, renowned for his documentaries, merges fiction and reality in his sci-fi thriller 2073.
- The film presents a bleak vision of a future dominated by surveillance and authoritarianism.
- Protagonist Ghost resides in a controlled New San Francisco in 2073, where dissent is crushed and freedom is absent.
- Kapadia aims to highlight complex global issues through a unique cinematic approach.
7 recession indicators with perfect records flashing warning signs: "The historical record is the historical record. At a minimum, it should raise your concern ...
businessinsider.com/recession-indicators-perfect-track-records-sahm-yield-curve-conference-board-2024-9
Paid articlePaywall
#MintPrimer | #Stockmarkets and some economists fear the US economy, weighed down by high interest rates, is heading into a #recession . Not all agree as some indicators suggest ... Show more
Mint Primer: The chances of a US recession and its impact on India | Mint
Mint Primer: The chances of a US recession and its impact on India | Mint
Decisions Milei refuses to make: Milei will eventually pay the political price for the decisions he fails to make today. His current popularity ...
batimes.com.ar/news/opinion-and-analysis/decisions-milei-refuses-to-make.phtml
New to NewsWall?
Sign up now to get your own personalized news!
Trending topics