Has the Fed Waited Too Long to Cut Rates?:
Inflation is near the Fed’s target, but it hasn’t declared victory.
morningstar.com/economy/has-fed-waited-too-long-cut-rates
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Analysts Expect Fed Rate Cut in SeptemberMarkets broadly expect interest rates to remain unchanged at next week’s meeting.
Key FactsJul 29, 2024 · Reading time: ~45 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: morningstar.com
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: morningstar.com
- Rates are broadly expected to remain unchanged at the upcoming meeting, while many analysts anticipate a September cut.
- Inflation fell from about 9% to 3% in June, while job growth moderated alongside the broader labor market.
- Some experts favor an earlier cut to limit recession risks, while others warn that inflation could rise again.
- Bond futures price in nearly 90% odds of a 0.25-percentage-point reduction in September.
It’s a risk to act too soon to normalize interest rates and then have inflation stuck above our target, and it’s a risk to hold on too long and make the labor market falter.— San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said last week
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Key FactsFed Faces Pressure Over Interest Rate Policy
Jun 11, 2025 · Reading time: ~45 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: cnbc.com
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: cnbc.com
- Vice President JD Vance joined former President Donald Trump in criticizing the Federal Reserve for not lowering interest rates.
- June 2025 inflation figures showed annual increases between 2.4% and 2.8%, surpassing the Fed’s 2% target.
- Trump demands a full percentage point reduction from the current federal funds rate of 4.25% to 4.5%.
- Markets foresee no rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting but anticipate easing measures by September.
The refusal by the Fed to cut rates is monetary malpractice.— Vice President JD Vance echoed President Trump's urging for the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy in a social media post.
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