The Fed Is Playing a Waiting Game on Rate Cuts. The Rules Are Starting to Change.
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The Fed Is Playing a Waiting Game on Rate Cuts. The Rules Are Starting to Change.
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The Fed Is Playing a Waiting Game on Rate Cuts. The Rules Are Starting to Change.
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Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P Live Updates for April 26: A rally in the world’s largest technology companies lifted stocks, with Wall Street also breathing a sigh ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-25/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates
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Powell Signals High Rates for Longer Due to Persistent Inflation: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said recent inflation data have indicated it will likely ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/powell-signals-high-rates-for-longer-due-to-persistent-inflation
Paid articlePaidQuick Glance: Powell Warns of Lack of Progress on Inflation
- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the U.S. economy, while otherwise strong, has not seen a return of inflation to the central bank's target.
- Powell mentioned that the current policy should remain in place as inflation has not declined quickly enough and there has been no further progress towards the 2% goal.
- Since July 2023, the Fed has maintained its benchmark interest rate in a target range between 5.25% and 5.5%, the result of 11 consecutive rate hikes.
- Financial markets have had to adjust their expectations for rate cuts this year as inflation has been higher than expected, and the Fed's policy continues to be dependent on data.
Inflation Data Reinforce Powell’s Shift Toward High for Longer: Fresh inflation data released Friday cemented the message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-26/inflation-data-reinforce-powell-s-shift-toward-high-for-longer
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The Fed Has Enough Pressure with Inflation Still High. Politicians Don’t Help.: The Federal Reserve will find it hard to lower interest rates so long as the ...
barrons.com/articles/federal-reserve-politics-monetary-policy-c4d8c4be
Paid articlePaid Fed’s Preferred Core Inflation Gauge Rose at Brisk Pace in March: The Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of underlying US inflation rose at a brisk pace in March ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-26/fed-s-preferred-core-inflation-gauge-rose-at-brisk-pace-in-march
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The 3.5 Percent Inflation Plateau: Prices have been rising faster than expected for the past three months. What’s going on?
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/04/inflation-above-fed-target/678174/
Fed seen on track for Sept start to US rate cuts: U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers sifting through the latest inflation data will find little to fuel a sense of ...
reuters.com/markets/us/traders-add-bets-september-start-fed-rate-cuts-2024-04-26/
Goolsbee Says Fed Needs More Time Before Cutting as Prices Stall: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said progress on inflation has ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/goolsbee-says-fed-needs-more-time-before-cutting-as-prices-stall
Paid articlePaid US Economic Growth Isn't Helping Biden Reelection Campaign Due to Inflation: The latest good news and bad news about the US economy is just plain bad news ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-26/growth-plus-inflation-economy-is-a-lose-lose-for-biden
Paid articlePaid US Treasury Yields Fall After Fed’s Favored Inflation Gauge Meet Expectations: A selloff in US Treasuries paused on Friday, bringing yields down from their ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-26/treasury-yields-fall-after-pce-inflation-data-meet-expectations
US inflation rises in line with expectations; consumer spending strong: U.S. monthly inflation rose moderately in March, but stubbornly higher costs for housing ...
reuters.com/markets/us/us-inflation-rises-line-with-expectations-march-2024-04-26/
Quick Glance: Rising Key Fed Inflation Measure in March
- In March, inflation remained strong, with an important indicator closely monitored by the Federal Reserve indicating elevated price pressures.
- The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy increased 2.8% from a year ago in March, above expectations.
- Both the all-items PCE price gauge and the core index increased by 2.7%, higher than estimates, leading to a positive market reaction.
- Markets reacted mildly to the data, with Wall Street set to open higher, while Treasury yields fell and the probability of rate cuts increased slightly.
A Brief History of the Fed’s Uneasy Peace With the White House: Central bankers are haunted by the danger of political meddling in inflation-control policies.
on.wsj.com/3QiUZT2
Fed’s Powell Rethinks Interest-Rate Cuts For 2024 To Combat Inflation: A string of disappointing inflation data has forced the Federal Reserve to reset the clock ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/fed-s-powell-rethinks-interest-rate-cuts-for-2024-to-combat-inflation
Fed May Delay Rate Cuts Until After 2024, Neel Kashkari Says: The Federal Reserve needs to achieve more confidence that inflation is declining before cutting ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/kashkari-says-fed-could-potentially-hold-rates-steady-all-year
US Rent Inflation Looms Over Potential Interest-Rate Cut: Rent increases are taking longer to moderate in the Northeast and Midwest than in the West and South.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/us-rent-inflation-looms-over-potential-interest-rate-cut
Paid articlePaid Weak GDP, strong prices, highlight Fed dilemma: U.S. economic growth in the first quarter fell below the Federal Reserve's estimates of the economy's long-run ...
reuters.com/markets/us/weak-gdp-strong-prices-highlight-fed-dilemma-2024-04-25/
Quick Glance: Unlikelihood of Fed Rate Cut Before Elections Disrupts Markets
- Investors cast doubt on a Fed rate cut before September.
- Expectations are now fully priced in for a rate cut on November 6-7.
- The shift in market expectations stemmed from inflation and growth data.
- There is now an estimated 75 percent likelihood of a Fed rate cut by September.
Fed's Loretta Mester Expects Inflation to Fall Further: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said monetary policy is in a good place ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-17/mester-says-fed-can-hold-rates-steady-not-in-a-hurry-to-cut
Why Is US Inflation Still High? Blame Powell Pivot, Housing Shortage: This was supposed to be the year that US inflation rode the last mile down to 2% ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-17/inflation-s-stubborn-start-to-2024-blamed-partly-on-powell-pivot
Paid articlePaid Fed to Cut Interest Rates Twice in 2024, BlackRock’s Rick Rieder Says: Bond investors confronting a painful run-up in yields in the past month may soon find ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-22/blackrock-s-rieder-sees-scope-for-two-fed-rate-cuts-this-year
Emerging Markets Extend Bounce to Second Day After US PMI Miss: Emerging-market stocks rose for a second session amid signs of easing tensions in the Middle East ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-23/emerging-market-stocks-sustain-recovery-as-mideast-concerns-ease
Paid articlePaid Fed May Not Cut Interest Rates at All This Year, JPMorgan's Daniel Pinto Says
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/relatively-high-chance-of-no-rate-cuts-this-year-jpmorgan-s-pinto-says
Paid articlePaid The Dream of Fed Rate Cuts Is Slipping Away: Investors are backing away from expectations that the central bank can reduce rates in coming months ...
wsj.com/economy/central-banking/the-dream-of-fed-rate-cuts-is-slipping-away-55903ca5
Economists Boost US GDP Forecasts, See Fed Rates Higher for Longer: Economists once again upgraded their forecasts for US growth, spending and employment ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/economists-dial-up-us-gdp-forecasts-temper-fed-rate-outlook
Paid articlePaid Higher for Longer Hits Bonds With 5% Yields Back in Play: Welcome to the Weekly Fix, the newsletter that’s confident rate cuts are coming sometime, somewhere ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-19/higher-for-longer-hits-bonds-with-5-yields-back-in-play
US Rate Cuts Latest: Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge Is Set to Back Patience: Federal Reserve officials are about to get further confirmation that progress ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-20/us-rate-cuts-latest-fed-s-preferred-inflation-gauge-is-set-to-back-patience
Paid articlePaid Bloomberg Evening Briefing: Blame the Rent for America’s Sticky Inflation: Get caught up.
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-18/bloomberg-evening-briefing-blame-the-rent-for-america-s-sticky-inflation
Fed’s Rate-Cut Delay, Explained: What It Means for US and World: The US Federal Reserve and its vast global audience thought 2024 would be a rate-cut bonanza ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/fed-s-rate-cut-delay-explained-what-it-means-for-us-and-world
Stock Market This Week: S&P 500, Nasdaq Finish Higher: With inflation up, economic growth down and two-year Treasury yields testing 5%, Bill Gross sensed the ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-26/wall-street-humbled-as-rebounding-markets-weather-fed-pivot-fear
Fed Says Persistent Inflation Is Seen as Top Financial Risk: Higher-than-expected interest rates amid persistent inflation are perceived as the biggest threat to ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/fed-says-persistent-inflation-is-seen-as-top-financial-risk
Paid articlePaid Fed’s Daly Says No Urgency to Cut, Policy in a Good Place: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly reiterated there’s no urgency to adjust ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/fed-s-daly-says-no-urgency-to-cut-policy-in-a-good-place
Paid articlePaid
U.S. economy grew at 1.6% annualized rate in first quarter: By comparison, GDP increased at 3.4% annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2023.
axios.com/2024/04/25/us-economy-gdp-report-q1-2024
Global economy set to stay on a roll for the rest of the year: Reuters poll: The global economy is likely to carry its solid momentum for the rest of the year ...
reuters.com/business/global-economy-set-stay-roll-rest-year-2024-04-26/
Fed’s Williams Still Expects Rate Cuts to Begin This Year: Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said the central bank will likely start ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-15/williams-says-fed-likely-to-start-lowering-rates-this-year
Paid articlePaid Investment Opportunities With Hot Inflation, Higher-for-Longer Interest Rates: Rising prices and high interest rates are frustrating investors ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/investment-opportunities-with-hot-inflation-higher-for-longer-interest-rates
Paid articlePaid Fed’s Jefferson Sees Steady Interest Rate Helping to Push Down Inflation: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said he expects inflation will continue to ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/fed-s-jefferson-sees-steady-interest-rate-helping-to-push-down-inflation
Paid articlePaid ECB’s Vasle Sees Limit to How Far Lagarde’s ECB Can Diverge From Powell and Fed: The European Central Bank can’t fully disregard inflation dynamics and monetary ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/ecb-s-vasle-sees-limit-to-how-far-lagarde-s-ecb-can-diverge-from-powell-and-fed
Paid articlePaid US business activity cools in April; inflation measures mixed: U.S. business activity cooled in April to a four-month low due to weaker demand ...
reuters.com/markets/us/us-business-activity-cools-april-inflation-measures-mixed-2024-04-23/
Latest Oil Prices, Market News and Analysis for April 26: Oil headed for a narrow weekly gain ahead of US inflation data that will give further clues on the path ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-25/latest-oil-market-news-and-analysis-for-april-26
Summers Warns About Avoiding a ‘Large and Egregious Error’ in Monetary Policy: Inflation data show the Fed should leave rates where they are, he says
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-13/summers-warns-about-avoiding-a-large-and-egregious-error-in-monetary-policy
Powell’s Warning: The Bloomberg Open, Asia Edition: Good morning. The Fed chief takes a hawkish turn. IMF gets a little more optimistic, but sees many threats ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-16/powell-s-warning-the-bloomberg-open-asia-edition
Paid articlePaid
America’s interest rates are unlikely to fall this year: That will squeeze financial markets and the world economy
economist.com/leaders/2024/04/17/americas-interest-rates-are-unlikely-to-fall-this-year
March CPI Raises Chances of Fed Interest-Rate Hike, Larry Summers Says: Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said that the hot US consumer price inflation ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-10/summers-says-have-to-seriously-consider-next-fed-move-is-a-hike
Paid articlePaid
US employers added a surprisingly robust 303,000 jobs in March in a sign of economic strength
apnews.com/article/jobs-hiring-unemployment-economy-inflation-federal-reserve-1e456b8df0e11b218ed50f1ead6f6797
Quick Glance: US economy adds impressive 303,000 jobs last month
- Employers added 303,000 jobs in March, bringing the unemployment rate down to 3.8%.
- US stock futures rose slightly on Friday morning, but markets have had a rough week.
- The S&P 500 companies are expected to report positive first-quarter earnings, fueling optimism in the market.
- Investors are hopeful for a strong earnings season to continue the stock rally amidst concerns about inflation and interest rates.
Fed’s Collins Sees No Urgency to Cut Interest Rates in Near Term: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins reiterated she sees no urgency to cut ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-12/fed-s-collins-sees-no-urgency-to-cut-interest-rates-in-near-term
Paid articlePaid
Resurgent inflation looms over Joe Biden’s White House bid: Consumer prices are rising quickly at just the wrong time for the US president
ft.com/content/d8520a33-f202-4679-b6f7-99fe9e4fb3ae
JPMorgan's Dimon hopes for soft landing for US economy but says stagflation is a possible scenario
apnews.com/article/jpmorgan-chase-jamie-dimon-economy-stagflation-76b6dbb8c87580a709c50dd3d00d751d
Fed Hiking Rates to 6.5% Is ‘Real Risk’ for UBS Strategists: The combination of strong US growth and sticky inflation is raising the odds the Federal Reserve ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-15/fed-hiking-rates-to-6-5-is-real-risk-for-ubs-strategists
Paid articlePaid Fed's Bostic says he is not in a 'mad dash hurry' on rate cuts: Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic on Thursday said inflation is going to return to ...
reuters.com/markets/us/feds-bostic-says-he-is-not-mad-dash-hurry-rate-cuts-2024-04-18/
A contrarian take on the US inflation freakout: Not as bad as it looks — better for the Fed to keep calm, and carry on?
ft.com/content/39af38ed-f493-4ad6-b6e3-3e4777ecdbbb
Fed’s Mary Daly Sees No Urgency to Adjust Interest Rates: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said there is absolutely no urgency to adjust ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-12/fed-s-daly-says-there-s-absolutely-no-urgency-to-adjust-rates
Paid articlePaid Pimco Sees Fed Raising Rates Again If US Inflation Reignites: Pacific Investment Management Co. warned that the Federal Reserve could pivot back toward interest ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-12/pimco-sees-additional-fed-rate-hike-if-us-inflation-moves-higher
POLL Fed to cut rates in September and maybe once more this year: The U.S. Federal Reserve will wait until September to cut its key interest rate ...
reuters.com/markets/us/fed-cut-rates-september-maybe-once-more-this-year-2024-04-18/
Gold (XAUUSD) Resumes Gains as Middle East Tensions Offset Hot Inflation: Gold resumed its blistering rally as heightened tensions in the Middle East offset ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-11/gold-xauusd-resumes-gains-as-middle-east-tensions-offset-hot-inflation
Paid articlePaid Federal Reserve and ECB Might Diverge on Rate Cuts: Weekend Reading: Get caught up.
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-13/federal-reserve-and-ecb-might-diverge-on-rate-cuts-weekend-reading
UK Is Beating US on Inflation Fight And May Cut Rates Sooner: Britain is starting to rein in inflation at a quicker pace than the US, underscoring a divergence ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-15/uk-is-beating-us-on-inflation-fight-and-may-cut-rates-sooner
Paid articlePaid
Right-Wingers Plot to Give Trump Control Over Federal Reserve If Reelected: "Under such an approach, the chair would regularly seek Trump's views on ...
commondreams.org/news/trump-federal-reserve
BOE May Be Able to Cut Interest Rates Before Fed, Andrew Bailey Suggests: Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey hinted that the UK might be able to lower ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/bailey-hints-boe-might-be-able-to-cut-rates-before-fed-in-us
Fed Rate-Cut Reluctance Will Limit ECB Leeway, Holzmann Says: The European Central Bank’s room for maneuver will be limited if sticky US inflation forces the ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/hesitant-fed-will-limit-ecb-leeway-on-rate-cuts-holzmann-says
Commodity Markets: High Gold, Oil, Copper Prices Will Remain Problem for Fed: A new commodities boom is complicating central bankers’ anti-inflation efforts and ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-15/commodity-markets-high-gold-oil-copper-prices-will-remain-problem-for-fed
Paid articlePaid Fed's rate-cut foot-dragging grates on global peers at IMF meetings: Finance chiefs from economies large and small are scrambling to keep pace with the Federal ...
reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/feds-rate-cut-foot-dragging-grates-global-peers-imf-meetings-2024-04-19/
Fed Suffers Setback in Inflation Fight. But It’s Too Early to Talk Rate Hikes.: Another hot inflation report likely will prompt Federal Reserve officials to ...
barrons.com/articles/fed-inflation-interest-rates-30a3b669
Paid articlePaid Global Economy Latest: Trying to Predict Fed Rate-Cut Path: I’m Chris Anstey, a senior editor in Boston, and today we’re looking at a wave of Fed forecast ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-11/global-economy-latest-trying-to-predict-fed-rate-cut-path
US Two-Year Yield Climbs Past 5% to Highest Level Since November - Bloomberg: The US two-year yield rose past 5% to the highest level since November after ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/us-two-year-yield-climbs-past-5-to-highest-level-since-november
Paid articlePaid Fed, Biden Campaign Confounded as Inflation Digs In: This is Washington Edition, the newsletter about money, power and politics in the nation’s capital. Today ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-10/fed-biden-campaign-confounded-as-inflation-digs-in
How US Inflation and Federal Reserve Can Affect UK House Prices: It is, of course, all about interest rate expectations.
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-11/how-us-inflation-and-federal-reserve-can-affect-uk-house-prices
IMF tells Asian central banks not to follow Fed too closely: The International Monetary Fund urged Asian central banks on Thursday to focus on domestic inflation ...
reuters.com/markets/imf-tells-asian-central-banks-not-follow-fed-too-closely-2024-04-18/
Trump's 60% Tariff on China, 10% Elsewhere to Raise US Inflation: Model: The tariff plan that Donald Trump has vowed to impose would likely send inflation ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-03/trump-60-tariff-on-china-10-elsewhere-to-raise-us-inflation-model
Paid articlePaidQuick Glance: Trump's 60% Tariff on China, 10% Elsewhere to Raise US Inflation: Model
- The proposed tariff plan by Donald Trump could potentially cause inflation to exceed the Federal Reserve's target, leading to a possible increase in interest rates.
- Analysis indicates that implementing Trump's plan would negatively impact US growth and raise living costs for Americans.
- Experts predict that the proposed tariff measure could push the Fed's preferred price index for personal consumption expenditures to 3.7% by the end of next year, significantly higher than policymakers' target of 2%.
- Trump's proposed plans might result in a 2.5% increase in consumer prices and a 0.5% decrease in gross domestic product after two years, leaving the Fed with the decision to adjust interest rates accordingly.
Wall St loses over 1% amid fading rate-cut hopes: Wall Street stocks closed lower on Thursday as markets were stunned by data showing slower-than-expected U.S ...
reuters.com/markets/us/futures-falter-meta-platforms-weighs-megacaps-2024-04-25/
Williams Signals Fed Still Has Work to Do in Its Inflation Fight: Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said the central bank has made ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-11/williams-signals-fed-still-has-work-to-do-in-its-inflation-fight
Paid articlePaid Fed’s Mester Says Recent Inflation Means Longer Wait for Rate Cuts: Loretta Mester remains optimistic about inflation coming down this year.
barrons.com/articles/federal-reserve-mester-rate-cuts-be93b648
Paid articlePaid Investor Sentiment: Watching 'Dumb Money' Could Be a Smart Move: Shifting views on economic landings may have thwarted the drop in inflation ...
bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-04-18/investor-sentiment-watching-dumb-money-could-be-a-smart-move
Paid articlePaid Hot Inflation Print Blows Up Bond Trader’s Record Futures Wager: A record-sized bullish bet on interest-rate futures that was made hours before Wednesday’s US ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-10/hot-inflation-print-blows-up-bond-trader-s-record-futures-wager
Paid articlePaid Fed report cites inflation, US election as key financial stability risks: Persistent inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates were cited as key risks to ...
reuters.com/markets/us/fed-report-cites-inflation-us-election-key-financial-stability-risks-2024-04-19/
Inflation Focus: The Bloomberg Open, Americas Edition: Good morning. Markets brace for more insight on inflation. Jeff Bezos’s missing messages land him in hot ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-26/inflation-focus-the-bloomberg-open-americas-edition
Paid articlePaid Dollar's rally supercharged by diverging US rate outlook: A rally in the U.S. dollar is accelerating, as stubborn inflation sows doubts over how aggressively the ...
reuters.com/markets/currencies/dollars-rally-supercharged-by-diverging-us-rate-outlook-2024-04-15/
U.S. Mortgage Rates Jump Above 7% for the First Time This Year: Rates on 30-year mortgages — the most common kind among U.S. homeowners — surpassed the 7 percent ...
nytimes.com/2024/04/18/business/mortgage-rates.html
Mortgage demand falls again as interest rates soar past 7%: A key measure of home-purchase application fell for the third straight week as mortgage interest ...
foxbusiness.com/economy/mortgage-demand-falls-again-interest-rates-soar-past-7
America’s interest rates are unlikely to fall this year: That will squeeze financial markets and the world economy
economist.com/leaders/2024/04/17/americas-interest-rates-are-unlikely-to-fall-this-year
Biden's new take on inflation: Trump would be worse: Biden's team knows there's not a lot it can do to lower it before the Nov. 5 election.
axios.com/2024/04/13/biden-trump-inflation-worse-tariffs
Quick Glance: Biden's New Perspective on Inflation: Trump Would Be Worse
- The White House warns that inflation would worsen if Trump is re-elected as a strategy to sway voters.
- March's inflation increase surpassed expectations, undermining Biden's claim of lowering prices.
- Rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions could lead to higher gas prices, a concern for the White House.
- Biden emphasizes fighting inflation as top priority while experts debate the impact of his economic stimulus packages.
Stock market sell-off has 'further to go,' JPMorgan warns: JPMorgan analysts warned in a note to clients this week that the U.S. stock market sell-off has ...
foxbusiness.com/markets/stock-market-selloff-has-further-go-jpmorgan-warns
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