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EU service Copernicus: 1.5-degree mark likely to be exceeded in 2026
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Key FactsCopernicus expects 2026 to exceed the 1.5°C threshold
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Summary created with AI assistance · Source: tagesschau.de
  • Copernicus expects warming in 2026 to almost certainly exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels; officially, the threshold is assessed over multiple years.

  • October was the warmest worldwide since records began and marked the third consecutive month above 1.5°C.

  • Copernicus estimates 2026 will probably be the second-warmest year; there is a 20% chance it could surpass the 2024 record.

  • In October, sea-surface temperature across the latitudes from 60°N to 60°S reached 20.95°C, a new October high.
  • What is particularly significant is that the four-year average is also expected to exceed 1.5 degrees, illustrating how prolonged this phase of global warming has become.
    — Samantha Burgess of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, commenting on the Copernicus climate data.
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