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Conservatives Narrow Liberal Lead in Federal PollA recent poll of 1,526 Canadians reveals the Liberal lead shrank to six points by July 2026.
Key FactsJul 13, 2026 · Reading time: ~45 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: torontosun.com
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: torontosun.com
- The Liberals, led by Mark Carney, hold 41% support while Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have 35%.
- The gap tightened from 11 points to six, indicating a more competitive national race.
- Poilievre’s favourability rose to 39%, whereas Carney’s approval dipped slightly to 56%.
- The survey was conducted between June 28 and July 11 with a ±2.5% margin of error.
The Conservatives are not ahead and they are not tied, but they have cut into the gap enough that the national picture looks less settled than it did a week ago.— David Valentin of Liaison Strategies
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