Weak rouble, higher oil may help Russia if Trump's tariffs hit, analysts say:
Russian markets reacted cautiously to U.S. President Donald Trump's threat to ...
reuters.com/business/weak-rouble-higher-oil-may-help-russia-if-trumps-tariffs-hit-analysts-say-2025-07-30/
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Paid articlePaywallKey FactsExperts outline options to weaken the ruble
Apr 26, 2022 · Reading time: ~45 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: handelsblatt.com
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: handelsblatt.com
- After reaching its low on March 7, the ruble recovered and stood above its prewar level.
- Capital controls limit currency exchanges; meanwhile, Russia’s exports, especially oil and gas, exceed its imports.
- The IIF expects Russia’s current-account surplus under existing sanctions to rise from $120 billion to about $240 billion.
- Possible measures include an energy embargo or sanctions on all Russian banks; the latter could make Western European energy payments impossible, according to the IIF.
If all Russian banks were sanctioned, it would be impossible for Western Europe to pay for Russian energy, which would essentially amount to a full Russian energy embargo.— explained by IIF chief economist Robin Brooks
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