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Wanted in Rome
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 Sep 01
Italy's population is set to shrink by 13 million by 2080
Italy's population is set to shrink by 13 million by 2080: Statistics agency projects steady decline from 58.9 million today to 45.8 million within 55 years ...
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Key FactsISTAT Projects Italy’s Population Decline Through 2080
Sep 1, 2026 · Reading time: ~45 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: wantedinrome.com
  • According to ISTAT, the average age should rise from 46.9 years in 2025 to 51 in 2050; over-65s will reach 34.5 percent.

  • The share of people aged 15 to 64 is projected to decline from 63.4 to 55.3 percent.

  • Births are projected to fall from about 355,000 in 2025 to 281,000 in 2080, while deaths are expected to peak at 869,000 in 2058.

  • Southern Italy and inland areas are expected to lose population fastest; the south’s population will fall from 19.7 million in 2025 to 16.7 million in 2050.
    • the 'most certain' element of the forecast.
    — ISTAT (Italian National Institute of Statistics) described the ageing of the population as the 'most certain' element of the forecast, driven by the country's baby-boom generation moving into old age.
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