How to avoid getting misled by political polls:

thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4972221-david-plouffe-kamala-harris-swing-states-2024/

Nov 05 24

Plouffe says Harris could win all 7 swing states: David Plouffe, a senior adviser to Vice President Harris’s campaign, suggested Monday that the Democratic ...

Photo: thedailybeast.com · view article

Key FactsHarris: Potential to Win All 7 Swing States

Nov 5, 2024 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: thedailybeast.com

David Plouffe, a senior adviser to Kamala Harris, expressed confidence in winning all seven swing states.

He emphasized the importance of having multiple pathways to secure the necessary 270 electoral votes and sees a credible chance of capturing these states.

Current polling indicates a tight race in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, with positive signs particularly in Nevada.

Plouffe anticipates that increased female voter turnout could surprise in favor of Harris, while remaining cautious about Trump's strong voter base.

2 similar articles

317

thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4969244-trump-rages-at-iowa-poll-no-president-has-done-more-for-farmers/

Nov 04 24

Trump rages at Iowa poll: ‘No President has done more for FARMERS’: Former President Trump raged in a post online after a shocking Iowa poll found Vice President ...

14 similar articles

166

811

The Charlotte Observer

charlotteobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/article294909204.html

Nov 06 24

Who is leading the presidential race in North Carolina? Here are the early results.

5 similar articles

thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4961843-polls-show-vice-president-harris-leading-trump/

Oct 30 24

Harris has 6-point lead in Wisconsin, 5-point lead in Michigan in new CNN polls: New polls for CNN find Vice President Harris with a 6-point lead over former ...

0 similar articles

109

465

thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4928335-vice-president-harris-ahead-trump-pennsylvania/

Oct 11 24

Harris ahead of Trump by 2 points in Pennsylvania survey: Vice President Harris is ahead of former President Trump by 2 points in Pennsylvania ...

3 similar articles

192

The Independent

Grade: C+

Oct 13 24

New polls reveal state of Trump v Harris race in Pennsylvania and Arizona: Still all to play for in two crucial battleground states for both vice president and ...

independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-harris-polls-election-swing-states-arizona-pennsylvania-b2628333.html

0 similar articles

Al Jazeera

Grade: C

Oct 10 24

Kamala Harris to appeal to Latino voters at Las Vegas town hall: The vice president is courting undecided Latino voters who have been turning away from the ...

aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/10/kamala-harris-to-appeal-to-latino-voters-at-las-vegas-town-hall

bbc.com/news/articles/cj4x71znwxdo

BBC News

Grade: A

Sep 10 24

US election polls 2024: Who is ahead - Harris or Trump?: An in-depth look at the polls and what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the White House.

Photo: bbc.com · view article

Key FactsHarris vs. Trump: Who Leads the 2024 Election Race?

Sep 10, 2024 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: bbc.com

The US elections are set for November 5, following President Biden's exit from the race and endorsement of Vice President Harris.

In their first debate, Harris was perceived as the stronger candidate, but only 4% of viewers changed their voting intentions.

Current polls indicate a tight race with Harris at 47% and Trump at 44% nationally, while battleground states show similarly close results.

Forecasting the election outcome is challenging, as past polls have underestimated Trump's support, and crucially, the location of votes plays a significant role.

5 similar articles

138

NPR

Grade: B+

Sep 07 24

Stop stressing about the polls. Watch these four indicators in the election: From how to read the polls to big moments yet to come for Vice President Harris and ...

npr.org/2024/09/03/nx-s1-5098327/presidential-election-harris-trump-campaign

2 similar articles

284

Newsweek

Grade: C+

Aug 24 24

Kamala Harris Sees Polling Boost During DNC: Harris extends lead over Trump in new polls during DNC, revealing generational and demographic divides as the ...

newsweek.com/kamala-harris-polling-boost-dnc-donald-trump-1943966

Photo: nypost.com · view article

Key FactsKamala Harris Leads Against Trump in North Carolina

Aug 23, 2024 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: nypost.com

The Democratic National Convention may solidify Kamala Harris' rise as the presidential candidate, positively impacting her support in North Carolina, where 16 electoral votes are at stake. A recent survey shows Harris slightly ahead with 46% of registered voters, compared to Donald Trump's 45%, with 8% undecided.

The poll indicates that Harris leads among likely voters by 48% to 46%. However, Trump needs to mobilize historically likely voters who are not enthusiastic about the current choices to improve his chances. Harris' support correlates strongly with the level of interest in the convention.

The survey reveals interesting demographic trends, such as black men supporting Trump more (19%) than black women (82% support Harris). Trump also has strong backing among Latino voters (61%) and those under 35 (53%), while Harris leads in the age groups from 35 and older.

Harris leads among unmarried voters (54% to 36%) and moderates (51% to 35%). In contrast, Trump retains support from married and widowed voters, indicating a clear divide among voter groups. The poll suggests that Harris is gaining traction among right-leaning voters, which could pose challenges for Trump.

6 similar articles

144

Business Insider

Grade: B-

Aug 18 24

Trump and Vance have entered the 'fake polls' phase of their campaign: The Trump campaign celebrated the polls when they showed him leading Biden ...

businessinsider.com/trump-vance-polls-harris-walz-2024-8

Photo: axios.com · view article

Key FactsVance Dismisses Harris' Poll Surge as Misleading

Aug 18, 2024 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: axios.com

Senator JD Vance, representing the Republican Party as a vice presidential candidate, expressed skepticism regarding polling that suggests Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Trump. He claimed that the media is using 'fake polls' to damage Republican prospects. However, various polls indicate Harris does have a lead, with the race remaining tight in crucial swing states.

A recent poll from Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos reports that Harris is ahead by 4 points among registered voters and by 6 points among likely voters. There is a significant shift among independent voters, who have moved from supporting Trump in July to backing Harris by an 11-point margin in August, largely due to increased support from Democratic-leaning independents.

Vance conveyed confidence in the Trump campaign during an interview, suggesting that Harris's lead is temporary. He referenced internal campaign data that indicates her advantage may not last. Vance emphasized that the Trump campaign is currently in a 'very good spot' and firmly believes they will win the election.

Despite Vance's references to past polling inaccuracies that affected Trump during the 2016 and 2020 elections, public faith in polling remains shaky. A report from the Cook Political Report indicates that Harris is leading in several key states where Biden previously lagged, suggesting significant shifts in the race dynamics.

3 similar articles

100

729

NBC News

nbcnews.com/news/latino/harris-poll-latino-voter-support-rcna166532

Aug 14 24

Harris makes gains in Latino voter support, but many voters still in play, poll finds

Photo: nbcnews.com · view article

Key FactsHarris Gains Ground with Latino Voter Support

Aug 14, 2024 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: nbcnews.com

A recent poll from Equis Research indicates that Vice President Kamala Harris has garnered support among younger Latino voters, Hispanic men, and 'double haters' (voters who dislike both Biden and Trump). However, her backing is still slightly below the level Joe Biden achieved in 2020. With 80 days remaining until the election, Harris is seen as well-positioned to fend off a Republican surge among Latino voters.

In a poll conducted from July 22 to August 4, Harris leads Trump 56% to 37% among registered Hispanic voters in seven competitive states. This reflects a significant improvement compared to previous polls that showed Biden with a 5-point lead. These numbers suggest that Harris has made the race more competitive among Latino voters.

Harris's support is particularly strong among voters under 40, where she holds 60% approval, 17 points higher than Biden. Among Latina voters, her support is at 59%, and among Latino men, it has risen from 41% to 51%. Additionally, she has made gains among moderate and conservative Latinos, with 65% of 'double haters' supporting her.

Despite these gains, a substantial portion of registered Latino voters remains undecided. In key states like Nevada and Arizona, Harris will need to match Biden's 2020 support levels to secure victory. Approximately 15% of registered Latinos are still undecided, and 30% to 40% of voters who did not participate in the 2020 election present uncertainties for the election outcome.

2 similar articles

483

Reuters

Grade: A

Aug 08 24

Harris leads Trump by 5 points in Ipsos poll: Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 42% to 37% in the race for the Nov. 5 U.S ...

reuters.com/world/us/harris-leads-trump-by-5-points-ipsos-poll-2024-08-08/

7 similar articles

227

513

Al Jazeera

Grade: C

Aug 08 24

Can Kamala Harris help Democrats regain lost Black votes?: Some Black voters have drifted away from the Democrats in recent years, but will Harris be able to ...

aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/8/can-kamala-harris-help-democrats-regain-lost-black-votes

Photo: thehill.com · view article

Key FactsTrump, Harris Tied Head-to-Head in Georgia: Poll

Aug 8, 2024 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: thehill.com

A recent survey of voters in Georgia reveals a tie between former President Trump and Vice President Harris, with Harris positioning herself in the campaign and bringing Georgia back into contention.

According to the AARP report, both Trump and Harris received 48 percent support each when directly compared.

When third-party candidates are included, Trump leads with 46-44 percent and maintains his strongest support among voters over 50 years old, while Harris takes the lead among younger voters.

The survey also indicates that voters in Georgia are highly motivated, with Republicans holding a 10-point edge in motivated voters. The poll was conducted among about 1,400 likely voters from July 24-31.

6 similar articles

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210

thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4817090-trump-harris-wisconsin-poll/

Aug 07 24

Harris, Trump neck and neck in Wisconsin: Poll: Vice President Harris and former President Trump are virtually tied in the critical “blue wall” state of ...

Photo: npr.org · view article

Key FactsPoll: Harris Leads Trump Closely

Aug 6, 2024 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: npr.org

Vice President Harris has shaken up the presidential race and now leads former President Trump by 51%-48%, according to the latest NPR/PBS News/Marist poll.

She is gaining support among Black voters, white women with college degrees, and politically independent women. Her improvement in the suburbs and with white voters overall is noteworthy.

The survey also shows Harris gaining popularity in various demographics, including Black voters, independents, and white voters overall. She has also made progress in approval among Latinos and younger voters.

The poll suggests a close race between Harris and Trump, with Harris leading in various demographic groups like women, Black voters, and independents. Republicans are also eyeing control of Congress, while Biden's approval rating is on the rise since he dropped out of the race.

434

The Washington Post

washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/29/kamala-harriss-image-bump-by-numbers/

Jul 29 24

Kamala Harris’s image bump, by the numbers: Multiple polls in recent days show that voters like her better than they used to — and crucially ...

553

NBC News

nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/group-gop-links-praises-rfk-jr-choice-abortion-ads-rcna163800

Jul 26 24

Group with GOP links praises RFK Jr. as 'pro-choice,' 'progressive Democrat' in swing-state ads

Photo: nbcnews.com · view article

Key FactsRepublican group praises RFK Jr. as 'pro-choice,' 'progressive Democrat' in Swing-State ads

Jul 27, 2024 · Reading time: ~30 sec.
Summary created with AI assistance · Source: nbcnews.com

New advertising from a group with Republican connections focuses on Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and the key issue of abortion for Democrats.

The SAG PAC group, with ties to the Republican Party, portrays Kennedy in ads as 'pro-choice' and a 'progressive Democrat.'

The ads highlight abortion rights, an issue where Kennedy's views have fluctuated during the campaign.

Kennedy's campaign aims to be on the ballot in all 50 states in November, while the ads are criticized as a desperate attempt by Trump allies to exploit Kennedy's candidacy.

8 similar articles

254

The New York Times

Grade: B+

Jul 25 24

A Lot of Major Shifts Beneath the Surface in a New Trump-Harris Poll: The changes among groups cancel out for now, and Trump leads narrowly, but there’s a tie ...

nytimes.com/2024/07/25/upshot/poll-kamala-harris-trump.html