'Financial markets are throwing in the towel': Recession fears escalate as Fed slams brakes on the economy
marketwatch.com/story/financial-markets-are-throwing-in-the-towel-recession-fears-escalate-as-fed-slams-brakes-on-the-economy-11664218545
Quick Glance: Recession odds have risen to 80%, according to a former Reagan economist and hyperinflation expert.
- On Friday, a top economist who forecast rising inflation this year before a "whopper" of a recession reaffirmed his prediction.
- Hanke is a member of Milton Friedman's monetarist school of economics, which believes in the "quantity theory of money": essentially, an equation concerning how quickly money enters the economy (the "money supply") and the resultant inflation.
- "They don't want this link to be visible between the money supply and inflation, because if it is, the noose is around their neck," Hanke continued.
- "Powell does not have the money supply on his dashboard."
Story Details
| Last Updated | Sep 27 22 |
| Total Articles | 7 |
News on this topic
How The Fed Is Going To Make Life Miserable: The Fed announced a third consecutive interest rate hike by 0.75 percentage points on Wednesday.
forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2022/09/26/how-the-fed-is-going-to-make-life-miserable/
A Hard Landing for the Economy Is Looking More Likely: The economy may not be able to escape causing a recession.
usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2022-09-26/a-hard-landing-for-the-economy-is-looking-more-likely
Wharton's Siegel says Jerome Powell owes 'the American people an apology' for poor Fed policy
cnbc.com/2022/09/26/whartons-siegel-says-jerome-powell-owes-the-american-people-an-apology-for-poor-fed-policy.html
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How The Fed Is Going To Make Life Miserable: The Fed announced a third consecutive interest rate hike by 0.75 percentage points on Wednesday.
forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2022/09/26/how-the-fed-is-going-to-make-life-miserable/
A Hard Landing for the Economy Is Looking More Likely: The economy may not be able to escape causing a recession.
usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2022-09-26/a-hard-landing-for-the-economy-is-looking-more-likely
Wharton's Siegel says Jerome Powell owes 'the American people an apology' for poor Fed policy
cnbc.com/2022/09/26/whartons-siegel-says-jerome-powell-owes-the-american-people-an-apology-for-poor-fed-policy.html
Recession odds just skyrocketed up to 80%, says former Reagan economist and hyperinflation expert
finance.yahoo.com/news/recession-odds-just-skyrocketed-80-153535810.html
What will the Fed do, and will it work? Forecasters don't always know: Two new academic research papers consider what what the Fed is trying to communicate ...
americanbanker.com/news/a-closer-look-at-the-fed-and-the-economic-forecasters-watching-it
Paid articlePaid
U.S. economy grew at 1.6% annualized rate in first quarter: By comparison, GDP increased at 3.4% annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2023.
axios.com/2024/04/25/us-economy-gdp-report-q1-2024
U.S. Economy Grew at 1.6% Rate in First Quarter Slowdown: Consumers ensured that growth continued, but the latest data showed signs of vulnerability elsewhere.
nytimes.com/2024/04/25/business/us-economy-gdp-growth.html
Powell Signals High Rates for Longer Due to Persistent Inflation: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said recent inflation data have indicated it will likely ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/powell-signals-high-rates-for-longer-due-to-persistent-inflation
Paid articlePaidQuick Glance: Powell Warns of Lack of Progress on Inflation
- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the U.S. economy, while otherwise strong, has not seen a return of inflation to the central bank's target.
- Powell mentioned that the current policy should remain in place as inflation has not declined quickly enough and there has been no further progress towards the 2% goal.
- Since July 2023, the Fed has maintained its benchmark interest rate in a target range between 5.25% and 5.5%, the result of 11 consecutive rate hikes.
- Financial markets have had to adjust their expectations for rate cuts this year as inflation has been higher than expected, and the Fed's policy continues to be dependent on data.
Goolsbee Says Fed Needs More Time Before Cutting as Prices Stall: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said progress on inflation has ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/goolsbee-says-fed-needs-more-time-before-cutting-as-prices-stall
Paid articlePaid Fed to Cut Interest Rates Twice in 2024, BlackRock’s Rick Rieder Says: Bond investors confronting a painful run-up in yields in the past month may soon find ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-22/blackrock-s-rieder-sees-scope-for-two-fed-rate-cuts-this-year
US Rent Inflation Looms Over Potential Interest-Rate Cut: Rent increases are taking longer to moderate in the Northeast and Midwest than in the West and South.
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/us-rent-inflation-looms-over-potential-interest-rate-cut
Paid articlePaid Fed’s Powell Rethinks Interest-Rate Cuts For 2024 To Combat Inflation: A string of disappointing inflation data has forced the Federal Reserve to reset the clock ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/fed-s-powell-rethinks-interest-rate-cuts-for-2024-to-combat-inflation
Fed May Delay Rate Cuts Until After 2024, Neel Kashkari Says: The Federal Reserve needs to achieve more confidence that inflation is declining before cutting ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/kashkari-says-fed-could-potentially-hold-rates-steady-all-year
Fed May Not Cut Interest Rates at All This Year, JPMorgan's Daniel Pinto Says
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/relatively-high-chance-of-no-rate-cuts-this-year-jpmorgan-s-pinto-says
Paid articlePaid Economists Boost US GDP Forecasts, See Fed Rates Higher for Longer: Economists once again upgraded their forecasts for US growth, spending and employment ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/economists-dial-up-us-gdp-forecasts-temper-fed-rate-outlook
Paid articlePaid US Rate Cuts Latest: Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge Is Set to Back Patience: Federal Reserve officials are about to get further confirmation that progress ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-20/us-rate-cuts-latest-fed-s-preferred-inflation-gauge-is-set-to-back-patience
Paid articlePaid Fed's Loretta Mester Expects Inflation to Fall Further: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said monetary policy is in a good place ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-17/mester-says-fed-can-hold-rates-steady-not-in-a-hurry-to-cut
Why Is US Inflation Still High? Blame Powell Pivot, Housing Shortage: This was supposed to be the year that US inflation rode the last mile down to 2% ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-17/inflation-s-stubborn-start-to-2024-blamed-partly-on-powell-pivot
Paid articlePaid Higher for Longer Hits Bonds With 5% Yields Back in Play: Welcome to the Weekly Fix, the newsletter that’s confident rate cuts are coming sometime, somewhere ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-19/higher-for-longer-hits-bonds-with-5-yields-back-in-play
US business activity cools in April; inflation measures mixed: U.S. business activity cooled in April to a four-month low due to weaker demand ...
reuters.com/markets/us/us-business-activity-cools-april-inflation-measures-mixed-2024-04-23/
Fed’s Rate-Cut Delay, Explained: What It Means for US and World: The US Federal Reserve and its vast global audience thought 2024 would be a rate-cut bonanza ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/fed-s-rate-cut-delay-explained-what-it-means-for-us-and-world
Bloomberg Evening Briefing: Blame the Rent for America’s Sticky Inflation: Get caught up.
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-18/bloomberg-evening-briefing-blame-the-rent-for-america-s-sticky-inflation
Fed Says Persistent Inflation Is Seen as Top Financial Risk: Higher-than-expected interest rates amid persistent inflation are perceived as the biggest threat to ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/fed-says-persistent-inflation-is-seen-as-top-financial-risk
Paid articlePaid ECB’s Vasle Sees Limit to How Far Lagarde’s ECB Can Diverge From Powell and Fed: The European Central Bank can’t fully disregard inflation dynamics and monetary ...
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Paid articlePaid Investment Opportunities With Hot Inflation, Higher-for-Longer Interest Rates: Rising prices and high interest rates are frustrating investors ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-19/investment-opportunities-with-hot-inflation-higher-for-longer-interest-rates
Paid articlePaid
America’s interest rates are unlikely to fall this year: That will squeeze financial markets and the world economy
economist.com/leaders/2024/04/17/americas-interest-rates-are-unlikely-to-fall-this-year
Fed’s Daly Says No Urgency to Cut, Policy in a Good Place: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly reiterated there’s no urgency to adjust ...
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Paid articlePaid Fed’s Jefferson Sees Steady Interest Rate Helping to Push Down Inflation: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said he expects inflation will continue to ...
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Paid articlePaid Fed’s Williams Still Expects Rate Cuts to Begin This Year: Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said the central bank will likely start ...
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Paid articlePaid Powell’s Warning: The Bloomberg Open, Asia Edition: Good morning. The Fed chief takes a hawkish turn. IMF gets a little more optimistic, but sees many threats ...
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A contrarian take on the US inflation freakout: Not as bad as it looks — better for the Fed to keep calm, and carry on?
ft.com/content/39af38ed-f493-4ad6-b6e3-3e4777ecdbbb
Fed's Bostic says he is not in a 'mad dash hurry' on rate cuts: Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic on Thursday said inflation is going to return to ...
reuters.com/markets/us/feds-bostic-says-he-is-not-mad-dash-hurry-rate-cuts-2024-04-18/
Mortgage demand falls again as interest rates soar past 7%: A key measure of home-purchase application fell for the third straight week as mortgage interest ...
foxbusiness.com/economy/mortgage-demand-falls-again-interest-rates-soar-past-7
POLL Fed to cut rates in September and maybe once more this year: The U.S. Federal Reserve will wait until September to cut its key interest rate ...
reuters.com/markets/us/fed-cut-rates-september-maybe-once-more-this-year-2024-04-18/
Fed's rate-cut foot-dragging grates on global peers at IMF meetings: Finance chiefs from economies large and small are scrambling to keep pace with the Federal ...
reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/feds-rate-cut-foot-dragging-grates-global-peers-imf-meetings-2024-04-19/
Fed Rate-Cut Reluctance Will Limit ECB Leeway, Holzmann Says: The European Central Bank’s room for maneuver will be limited if sticky US inflation forces the ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/hesitant-fed-will-limit-ecb-leeway-on-rate-cuts-holzmann-says
Fed Hiking Rates to 6.5% Is ‘Real Risk’ for UBS Strategists: The combination of strong US growth and sticky inflation is raising the odds the Federal Reserve ...
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Paid articlePaid Summers Warns About Avoiding a ‘Large and Egregious Error’ in Monetary Policy: Inflation data show the Fed should leave rates where they are, he says
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-13/summers-warns-about-avoiding-a-large-and-egregious-error-in-monetary-policy
Stock market sell-off has 'further to go,' JPMorgan warns: JPMorgan analysts warned in a note to clients this week that the U.S. stock market sell-off has ...
foxbusiness.com/markets/stock-market-selloff-has-further-go-jpmorgan-warns
BOE May Be Able to Cut Interest Rates Before Fed, Andrew Bailey Suggests: Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey hinted that the UK might be able to lower ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/bailey-hints-boe-might-be-able-to-cut-rates-before-fed-in-us
Fed report cites inflation, US election as key financial stability risks: Persistent inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates were cited as key risks to ...
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IMF tells Asian central banks not to follow Fed too closely: The International Monetary Fund urged Asian central banks on Thursday to focus on domestic inflation ...
reuters.com/markets/imf-tells-asian-central-banks-not-follow-fed-too-closely-2024-04-18/
US Two-Year Yield Climbs Past 5% to Highest Level Since November - Bloomberg: The US two-year yield rose past 5% to the highest level since November after ...
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Paid articlePaid UK Is Beating US on Inflation Fight And May Cut Rates Sooner: Britain is starting to rein in inflation at a quicker pace than the US, underscoring a divergence ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-15/uk-is-beating-us-on-inflation-fight-and-may-cut-rates-sooner
Paid articlePaid
Fed’s Mester Says Recent Inflation Means Longer Wait for Rate Cuts: Loretta Mester remains optimistic about inflation coming down this year.
barrons.com/articles/federal-reserve-mester-rate-cuts-be93b648
Paid articlePaid Investor Sentiment: Watching 'Dumb Money' Could Be a Smart Move: Shifting views on economic landings may have thwarted the drop in inflation ...
bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-04-18/investor-sentiment-watching-dumb-money-could-be-a-smart-move
Paid articlePaid U.S. Mortgage Rates Jump Above 7% for the First Time This Year: Rates on 30-year mortgages — the most common kind among U.S. homeowners — surpassed the 7 percent ...
nytimes.com/2024/04/18/business/mortgage-rates.html
Fed’s Collins Sees No Urgency to Cut Interest Rates in Near Term: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins reiterated she sees no urgency to cut ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-12/fed-s-collins-sees-no-urgency-to-cut-interest-rates-in-near-term
Paid articlePaid
The Fed's Key Inflation Rate Sizzles As GDP Slows: The key Federal Reserve inflation rate, the core PCE price index, reared up in Q1 as GDP grew at a slower ...
investors.com/news/economy/federal-reserve-inflation-rate-core-pce-gdp-q1-sp-500/
US bond bulls lean into latest selloff despite inflation scare: A sharp selloff in U.S. bonds so far in April is prompting some investors to consider allocating ...
reuters.com/markets/us/us-bond-bulls-lean-into-latest-selloff-despite-inflation-scare-2024-04-22/
To fight inflation, we should look for ways beyond the Fed’s policies: The obvious problem is that almost total reliance on the Fed to defeat inflation by ...
thehill.com/opinion/4611543-to-fight-inflation-we-should-look-for-ways-beyond-the-feds-policies/
Commodity Markets: High Gold, Oil, Copper Prices Will Remain Problem for Fed: A new commodities boom is complicating central bankers’ anti-inflation efforts and ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-15/commodity-markets-high-gold-oil-copper-prices-will-remain-problem-for-fed
Paid articlePaid Fed’s Mary Daly Sees No Urgency to Adjust Interest Rates: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said there is absolutely no urgency to adjust ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-12/fed-s-daly-says-there-s-absolutely-no-urgency-to-adjust-rates
Paid articlePaid Federal Reserve and ECB Might Diverge on Rate Cuts: Weekend Reading: Get caught up.
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-13/federal-reserve-and-ecb-might-diverge-on-rate-cuts-weekend-reading
Pimco Sees Fed Raising Rates Again If US Inflation Reignites: Pacific Investment Management Co. warned that the Federal Reserve could pivot back toward interest ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-12/pimco-sees-additional-fed-rate-hike-if-us-inflation-moves-higher
Where To Find Princely 5% Yields For Your Cash And Take No Risk: The Federal Reserve threw you a curveball with interest rates. Cash is still king as inflation ...
investors.com/etfs-and-funds/personal-finance/interest-rates-how-to-cash-in-on-high-yielding-cash-cds-apys/
America’s interest rates are unlikely to fall this year: That will squeeze financial markets and the world economy
economist.com/leaders/2024/04/17/americas-interest-rates-are-unlikely-to-fall-this-year
Czechs Can’t Afford to Accelerate Interest Rate Cuts: Central Banker: Persistent inflation risks and hawkish signals from the US Federal Reserve are preventing ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/czechs-can-t-afford-to-accelerate-rate-cuts-central-banker-says
Paid articlePaid S&P 500 Index (SPX) Sees Worst Week Since October Amid Geopolitical Tensions: Just weeks ago, it all felt so easy. Jerome Powell was poised to kick off the great ...
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Paid articlePaid Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Asia: Good morning. Powell signals a delay to rate cuts. China tries to settle nerves about its new stock ...
bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-04-16/five-things-you-need-to-know-to-start-your-day-asia
Dollar's rally supercharged by diverging US rate outlook: A rally in the U.S. dollar is accelerating, as stubborn inflation sows doubts over how aggressively the ...
reuters.com/markets/currencies/dollars-rally-supercharged-by-diverging-us-rate-outlook-2024-04-15/
Mortgage rates surge past 7%, reaching highest level since November: Mortgage rates soared this week, breaching the key 7% threshold and extending America’s home ...
cnn.com/2024/04/18/economy/mortgage-rates-7-percent/
Quick Glance: Mortgage Rates Surge Above 7% in 2024, Posing Major Dilemma for Homebuyers
- US mortgage rates have surged above 7%, increasing costs for homebuyers.
- The rise in mortgage rates impacts monthly costs, limiting purchasing power.
- Uncertainty surrounding rate trends poses a decision dilemma for potential homebuyers.
- Experts anticipate a moderate easing of mortgage rates later in the year.
Investors price in growing chance of another Federal Reserve interest rate rise: While base case remains reduction in borrowing costs, options market shows a 20% ...
ft.com/content/8c5da64b-766e-4993-86f5-aac95342432a
US Junk-Bond Funds Post Biggest Outflow in Over a Year: Funds that invest in US corporate high-yield notes saw the biggest outflow in more than a year as the ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-18/us-junk-bond-funds-post-biggest-outflow-in-over-a-year
Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P Live Updates for April 16: The world’s biggest bond market remained under pressure and stocks wavered after Jerome Powell signaled ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-15/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates
Paid articlePaid Biden's new take on inflation: Trump would be worse: Biden's team knows there's not a lot it can do to lower it before the Nov. 5 election.
axios.com/2024/04/13/biden-trump-inflation-worse-tariffs
Quick Glance: Biden's New Perspective on Inflation: Trump Would Be Worse
- The White House warns that inflation would worsen if Trump is re-elected as a strategy to sway voters.
- March's inflation increase surpassed expectations, undermining Biden's claim of lowering prices.
- Rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions could lead to higher gas prices, a concern for the White House.
- Biden emphasizes fighting inflation as top priority while experts debate the impact of his economic stimulus packages.
Stock Market Crash: 3 Charts Show Market Headed For Trouble: "We say rising no landing risks = rising hard landing risks," says Michael Hartnett.
businessinsider.com/stock-market-crash-bubble-charts-trouble-ahead-bank-of-america-2024-4
When will Americans see those interest-rate cuts?: Following a nasty surprise, some now think they may come only after the presidential election
economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/04/10/when-will-americans-see-those-interest-rate-cuts
Powell's 'restrictive' emphasis maximizes Fed flexibility: Central bankers choose their words carefully, so recent comments from the Federal Reserve's two most ...
reuters.com/markets/us/powells-restrictive-emphasis-maximizes-fed-flexibility-mcgeever-2024-04-19/
World Economy Latest: ECB Holds Steady But Signals Rate Cuts Coming Soon: The European Central Bank held the line on interest rates but officials leaned even ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-13/world-economy-latest-ecb-holds-steady-but-signals-rate-cuts-coming-soon
Paid articlePaid Fed rate cuts: Best-case scenario in tatters after hot March inflation: Not only are the number of rate cuts dwindling among bank forecasts, but Larry Summers ...
markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/fed-rate-cuts-outlook-inflation-rate-cpi-stock-market-economy-2024-4
Inflation’s Last Mile Will Test Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve: Slower disinflation and approaching elections are a dangerous combination.
bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-04-23/inflation-s-last-mile-will-test-jerome-powell-and-the-federal-reserve
Paid articlePaid Fed’s Main Inflation Gauge Set to ‘Calm Some Nerves’ After CPI: The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge is set to come in softer than another report this ...
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-11/fed-s-main-inflation-gauge-set-to-calm-some-nerves-after-cpi
Fed policymakers agree: there's no urgency to cut rates: Federal Reserve policymakers have coalesced around the idea of keeping borrowing costs where they are ...
reuters.com/markets/us/feds-williams-doesnt-see-urgent-need-cut-interest-rates-2024-04-18/
Fed: Don't expect rate cut: On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell firmly shut the door on rate cuts, citing lack of confidence in progress on ...
freep.com/story/money/business/2024/04/20/fed-dont-expect-a-rate-cut/73353083007/
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink is skeptical of the Fed's 2% inflation target: The BlackRock CEO says interest rates are still coming, but that the central bank’s ...
qz.com/blackrock-larry-fink-fed-rate-cuts-1851406856
Central Bankers Should Retire the 2% Inflation Target: With the energy shock now a memory, central bankers require more flexible objectives.
bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-04-17/central-bankers-should-retire-the-2-inflation-target
Paid articlePaid Fed Chair Powell says there has been a 'lack of further progress' this year on inflation
cnbc.com/2024/04/16/powell-cites-lack-of-progress-this-year-in-reaching-feds-inflation-goal.html
When will Americans see those interest-rate cuts?: Following a nasty surprise, some now think they may come only after the presidential election
economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/04/10/when-will-americans-see-those-interest-rate-cuts
Fed Faces a Long, Slow Fight Against Inflation in Services
barrons.com/articles/fed-rates-inflation-services-c64195c9
Paid articlePaid Companies Have Learned to Live with Higher Interest Rates. A Little More Inflation Won’t Change That.
barrons.com/articles/bond-yields-stock-market-fed-8af3920c
Paid articlePaid Wall Street traders keep underestimating America’s economic strength: It's the exact opposite of what happened in the 2010s
axios.com/2024/04/14/stock-market-bonds-interest-rates-us-economy
Inflation still too high for Fed to cut interest rates, Schmid says: Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid said on Friday the U.S ...
reuters.com/markets/us/inflation-still-too-high-fed-cut-interest-rates-schmid-says-2024-04-12/
Opinion | Why Is the Federal Reserve Always Surprised by Inflation?: The central bank owes the public an explanation—and a serious effort to correct its flawed ...
wsj.com/articles/why-is-the-federal-reserve-always-surprised-by-inflation-jerome-powell-guidance-7efcad64
What Inflation? Market Expert Ryan Detrick Says Hotter-Than-Expected March Inflation Report Won't Derail
benzinga.com/top-stories/24/04/38226089/what-inflation-market-expert-ryan-detrick-says-hotter-than-expected-inflation-report-wont-derail-sto
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