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Joe Biden's Approval Rating Falls to All-Time Low After SOTU: The president is recoding an average approval rating of 37.4 percent, according to ...
newsweek.com/joe-biden-approval-rating-sotu-address-2024-1878673
Joe Biden's Approval Rating Falls to All-Time Low After SOTU
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Donald Trump and Nikki Haley's Chances in South Carolina Primary: Donald Trump has a clear lead ahead of the Republican primary in South Carolina ...
newsweek.com/donald-trump-nikki-haleys-chances-south-carolina-primary-1863939
Donald Trump and Nikki Haley's Chances in South Carolina Primary
Quick Glance: Iowa and New Hampshire: Trump's Strengths and Weaknesses Revealed
  • In Iowa, Trump's campaign leveraged eight years of data to mobilize supporters.

  • Trump plans to implement his strategy nationwide to overcome hurdles in the general election.

  • Efforts will expand to engage traditionally Democratic-leaning groups lacking enthusiasm for Biden.

  • New Hampshire demonstrated the ongoing difficulties Trump faces in the suburbs and with college-educated white women.
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Should members of Congress have age limits? A USA TODAY poll shows many Americans say yes.
usatoday.com/story/graphics/2023/10/30/congress-age-poll-says-should-have-age-limit-graphics/71312191007/
Should members of Congress have age limits? A USA TODAY poll shows many ...
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Did Donald Trump's Indictments Boost His Poll Numbers?: Trump told a New York court last week that "...every time they give me a fake indictment I go up in the ...
newsweek.com/did-donald-trumps-indictments-boost-his-poll-numbers-1832694
Did Donald Trump's Indictments Boost His Poll Numbers?
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How Republican Polls Look Ahead of Second Debate: Recent polls indicate which GOP candidates face the highest stakes as they meet in Simi Valley, California ...
newsweek.com/what-polls-say-about-republican-primary-ahead-second-debate-1829617
How Republican Polls Look Ahead of Second Debate
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According to three pairs of polls whose first half was fielded after the indictment but before the debate and whose second half was fielded after the debate ... Show more
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After An Eventful Month, Trump Has Lost Support In The GOP Primary: Once more, with feeling: It has been a couple of weeks since former President Donald Trump’s ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/after-an-eventful-month-trump-has-lost-support-in-the-gop-primary/
After An Eventful Month, Trump Has Lost Support In The GOP Primary
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Will Trump Regret Skipping The GOP Debates?: Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. maya (Maya Sweedler ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-trump-regret-skipping-the-gop-debates/
Will Trump Regret Skipping The GOP Debates?
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The candidates who might have even a remote chance of defeating Trump — those with high favorability numbers among Republicans — largely eschewed attacking the ... Show more
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All Of Trump’s Indictments Could Seriously Bog Down His Campaign: Former President Donald Trump’s year just got even busier.  On Tuesday, Trump was indicted by ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-indictments-trial-campaign-effects/
All Of Trump’s Indictments Could Seriously Bog Down His Campaign
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Polling wizard Nate Silver went from blogger to Disney-backed media mogul. Now he’s out, most of his staff are laid off—and he has some thoughts
fortune.com/2023/08/15/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-advice-founders-disney-espn-abc-acquisition-departure/
Polling wizard Nate Silver went from blogger to Disney-backed media mogul ...
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Donald Trump Has a Popularity Problem: Trump remains the Republican frontrunner, despite having a net negative approval rating of -16.3 with Americans as a whole ...
newsweek.com/donald-trump-has-popularity-problem-1813681
Donald Trump Has a Popularity Problem
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A Brutal Wonk Swap at FiveThirtyEight: FiveThirtyEight just did a brutal wonk swap: After Disney refused to re-up Nate Silver’s contract at the influential ...
nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/05/fivethirtyeight-hires-g-elliott-morris-loses-nate-silver.html
A Brutal Wonk Swap at FiveThirtyEight
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ABC News Hires The Economist's G. Elliott Morris To Lead Data Analytics Team, Oversee FiveThirtyEight After Nate Silver Exit
deadline.com/2023/05/abc-news-g-elliott-morris-data-analytics-fivethirtyeight-1235372062/
ABC News Hires The Economist's G. Elliott Morris To Lead Data Analytics ...
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Is this Ron DeSantis’s last chance for 2024?: The Florida governor is expected to announce next week. If he doesn't turn things around ...
washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/05/18/desantis-2024-analysis/
Is this Ron DeSantis’s last chance for 2024?
Quick Glance: DeSantis aims to outflank Trump on abortion, guns, and more
  • Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a six-week abortion ban but has said little about it.

  • DeSantis has taken positions to the right of Trump on other issues as well.

  • Some believe DeSantis is missing the chance to run as a less divisive candidate and capture moderate voters.

  • DeSantis has signaled he intends to be further to the right than Trump on pandemic response.
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Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight origin story is unusual. Now he’s leaving.: The founder of FiveThirtyEight, which focuses on data journalism, said on Twitter his ...
washingtonpost.com/media/2023/04/25/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-abc-layoffs/
Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight origin story is unusual. Now he’s leaving.
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How Trump’s Indictment Could Affect The 2024 Election: On Thursday, a Manhattan grand jury voted to indict former President Donald Trump ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-indictment-2024-election/
How Trump’s Indictment Could Affect The 2024 Election
Quick Glance: Read Alvin Bragg's Warning to Jim Jordan Not to'Collaborate' With Trump.
  • "Let the criminal justice process proceed without unlawful political interference," one section of Alvin Bragg's letter to Republican House leaders urges.

  • In the aftermath of former President Donald Trump's indictment, Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg's office has retaliated against a trio of House GOP committee chairmen.

  • "The referenced committee chairmen are House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan, House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer and House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil."

  • They wrote to Bragg on March 21st, "demanding communications, documents and testimony relating to Bragg's unprecedented abuse of prosecutorial authority and the potential indictment of former President Donald Trump."
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Congress Is Trying To Ban TikTok. Younger Americans Don’t Like That.: Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. The latest trend taking Congress by ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/tiktok-ban-polls/
Congress Is Trying To Ban TikTok. Younger Americans Don’t Like That.
Quick Glance: TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew: the Great Unknown
  • Shou Zi Chew, her boss, prefers to keep a low profile.

  • "As a result, it is not an exaggeration to say that Chew is not an influencer."

  • "Tiktok, on the other hand, has never shared U.S. user data with the Chinese government," Chew claims.

  • Chew has previously stated that, while ByteDance is based in China, Tiktok is not available for download in China, and all US user data is stored in Virginia, with a backup in Singapore.
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2023 March Madness: Most popular Final Four picks, according to experts: College hoops experts from ESPN, CBS, SI, FiveThirtyEight, and more ...
insider.com/march-madness-final-four-ncaa-mens-basketball-tournament-experts-picks-2023-3
2023 March Madness: Most popular Final Four picks, according to experts
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‘Tis The Season … For Gonorrhea?: We thought we were safe. The flu season was tapering off. Spring was in the air (sort of, some places) ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/tis-the-season-for-gonorrhea/
‘Tis The Season … For Gonorrhea?
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FiveThirtyEight Cuts Ties With Pollster Over Election Betting: The politics site, whose polling aggregate is widely used leading up to elections ...
thedailybeast.com/fivethirtyeight-cuts-ties-with-pollster-over-election-betting
FiveThirtyEight Cuts Ties With Pollster Over Election Betting
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Joe Biden More Popular Than Donald Trump at Halfway Point of Presidency: The president's approval rating has been slowly rising over the past month based on ...
newsweek.com/joe-biden-more-popular-donald-trump-halfway-point-presidency-1775225
Joe Biden More Popular Than Donald Trump at Halfway Point of Presidency
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Biden approval rating highest since October 2021  : President Biden’s approval rating has reached its highest point since October 2021, climbing to 44 ...
thehill.com/homenews/administration/3810339-biden-approval-rating-highest-since-october-2021/
Biden approval rating highest since October 2021  
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Biden hits highest approval rating in more than a year: President Biden has hit his highest approval rating in more than a year according to FiveThirtyEight’s ...
thehill.com/homenews/administration/3800558-biden-hits-highest-approval-rating-in-more-than-one-year/
Biden hits highest approval rating in more than a year
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Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight Are on ABC’s Chopping Block: In this week’s edition of Confider, we report how ABC News is considering offloading the star data ...
thedailybeast.com/nate-silver-and-fivethirtyeight-are-on-abcs-chopping-block
Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight Are on ABC’s Chopping Block
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Why do so many wrestlers die young?: Professional wrestlers die at a higher rate than the general population, and a higher rate than other athletes
theweek.com/sports/1020184/why-do-so-many-professional-wrestlers-die-young
Why do so many wrestlers die young?
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According to a number of professionally conducted polls, Americans still have a mildly favorable opinion of Elon Musk — although they do hold negative views ... Show more

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Charted: The NFL's roller coaster season: Top teams saw their playoff windows dramatically collapse as the season progressed.
axios.com/2023/01/14/nfl-season-playoff-odds
Charted: The NFL's roller coaster season
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Brazil has been eliminated from the World Cup after losing to Croatia in penalty shootout in quarterfinals.

@FiveThirtyEight has World Cop ... Show more

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The darkest part of the year in the U.S. is preceded by a switch to standard time — sacrificing the evening sun in favor of earlier dawns ... Show more

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The youngest generation of voters is more likely than older groups to vote for Democrats — but it also has a much more radical view of how the country ... Show more

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While the Georgia Senate runoff was a competitive race, it was not ultimately a nail biter.

FiveThirtyEight breaks down why: https://abcn.ws/3FwWici

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Arsenal to pip Man City to Premier League title, say FiveThirtyEight: With the Gunners establishing a seven-point lead over City ahead of the midweek action ...
dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-11594915/Arsenal-pip-Man-City-Premier-League-title-say-FiveThirtyEight.html
Arsenal to pip Man City to Premier League title, say FiveThirtyEight
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According to FiveThirtyEight's SPI, Argentina are now the favorites to win the World Cup 🇦🇷🏆

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Presidential elections and NBA playoffs: FiveThirtyEight predicts Kings’ playoff chances
sacbee.com/sports/nba/sacramento-kings/article271234282.html
Presidential elections and NBA playoffs: FiveThirtyEight predicts Kings’ ...
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WATCH NOW: Soccer fans gather in Rio de Janerio to watch World Cup quarter-final match between Croatia and Brazil. For continued World Cup predictions ... Show more

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Argentina are the favorites in the World Cup final against France 🍿

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Boffins predict final Premier League table and Arsenal and Man Utd fans will be VERY happy but it’s bad n...
thesun.co.uk/sport/20929093/premier-league-table-prediction-arsenal-man-utd/
Boffins predict final Premier League table and Arsenal and Man Utd fans ...
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FiveThirtyEight Releases Final AFC Playoff Spot Odds: The Patriots, Dolphins and Steelers are all jockeying for the final playoff spot in the AFC in Week 18.
si.com/nfl/2023/01/08/fivethirtyeight-releases-final-afc-playoff-spot-odds
FiveThirtyEight Releases Final AFC Playoff Spot Odds
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A closer look at race for the top seed in the AFC postseason field through Week 13
kansascity.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/for-petes-sake/article269604241.html
A closer look at race for the top seed in the AFC postseason field through ...
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Election denialism lives on — even as candidates who support it concede.

More, via FiveThirtyEight : https://abcn.ws/3OlId3W

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Why today’s Chiefs-Bengals game could have significant impact on KC’s Super Bowl odds
kansascity.com/sports/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs/article269569927.html
Why today’s Chiefs-Bengals game could have significant impact on KC’s ...
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Kyrie Irving’s numbers have tended to tail off when it counts the most — in the playoffs.

FiveThirtyEight breaks it down: https://abcn.ws/3EHyBNQ

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It wasn't that a red wave didn’t materialize in the 2022 midterm elections — it just crashed into a series of regional blue riptides ... Show more

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Ranking the NFL’s fringe playoff teams by how fun they’d be in the postseason: Using FiveThirtyEight’s playoff predictor, we ranked the teams that haven’t ...
sbnation.com/nfl/2022/12/28/23527887/nfl-playoffs-odds-jaguars-seahawks-lions-patriots-jets
Ranking the NFL’s fringe playoff teams by how fun they’d be in the ...
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While Republicans overall performed poorer than expected, certain things about this race made it particularly susceptible to a potential upset—and help ... Show more

Quick Glance: Boebert claims election victory despite no call and a possible recount
  • Rep. Lauren Boebert declared victory in the 2022 midterm election race, despite a narrow margin of votes indicating a recount."I'm told there are less than 200 votes outstanding, which makes me so happy to announce we have won this race," she added in an accompanying video.

  • Boebert accepted the possibility of a recount, but maintained it would make little difference and hence she was certain of victory.

  • Despite this, Frisch, a conservative Democrat, has given Boebert a difficult campaign.
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2022 World Cup Predictions: FiveThirtyEight's World Cup forecasting model calculates each team's chances of winning each match and reaching each round.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-world-cup-predictions/
2022 World Cup Predictions
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FiveThirtyEight Rates CFP Chances for Ohio State, TCU, Alabama: The analytics website made interesting predictions for the College Football Playoff’s four berths ...
si.com/college/2022/12/04/fivethirtyeight-predicts-cfp-berths-tcu-ohio-state-alabama
FiveThirtyEight Rates CFP Chances for Ohio State, TCU, Alabama
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Raiders' slim playoff hopes hinge on winning every game: Following their fourth loss when leading by double digits this season, the tumbling Raiders are 5-8 with ...
yardbarker.com/nfl/articles/raiders_slim_playoff_hopes_hinge_on_winning_every_game/s1_13132_38252659
Raiders' slim playoff hopes hinge on winning every game
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Dolphins return from bye week still leading AFC East. Breaking down remaining schedule
miamiherald.com/sports/nfl/miami-dolphins/article268699997.html
Dolphins return from bye week still leading AFC East. Breaking down ...
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Here’s where the polls stand in some key 2022 Senate races: By Caroline Vakil With the pathway to the Senate narrowed to a handful of battleground states ...
thehill.com/homenews/3724032-heres-where-the-polls-stand-in-some-key-2022-senate-races/
Here’s where the polls stand in some key 2022 Senate races
Quick Glance: Biden's Speech Celebrates Midterm Election Results, but He Faces New Challenges
  • President Biden, dressed in a blue suit, looks at a reporter who is asking a question into a microphone held by a White House aide.

  • President Biden had the best midterm results of any president in 20 years, avoiding a Republican surge that had been forecast.

  • While Mr. Biden retains his veto pen, the path to keeping government doors open and avoiding a national debt default may pass through Representative Kevin McCarthy of California, the Republican leader vying for speaker.

  • According to advisers, Mr. Biden might spend most of the next two years traveling the country for ribbon-cutting ceremonies.
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The Uncalled Races Of The 2022 Election: Live Updates: Live election results and coverage of the races in the 2022 Midterm elections that are still too close to ...
fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2022-election-house/
The Uncalled Races Of The 2022 Election: Live Updates
Quick Glance: How Running for President Affects Trump's Legal Issues
  • What are the major investigations into Trump?

  • TIME's request for comment on this article was not responded to by Trump's legal counsel.

  • Is Trump's candidacy influencing how he pays his legal bills?

  • Will a special prosecutor be appointed to oversee federal probes into Trump?
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The midterm election results look like a striking rebuke of the court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization ... Show more

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Of every state, Texas has the most candidates running for Congress or statewide offices who reject the 2020 election results ... Show more
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ABC NEWS SPECIAL REPORT: With control of Congress at stake, polls have begun closing across the nation in the 2022 midterm elections.

ABC News ... Show more

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After the constitutional right to abortion was overturned in June, one abortion provider's online request form blew up ... Show more

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The fate of the Senate looks to be on a knife’s edge.

Republicans have a 59-in-100 chance of taking control of the chamber ... Show more

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Overturning Roe Has Meant At Least 10,000 Fewer Legal Abortions: The same day the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in June, Alabama’s law banning abortion ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/overturning-roe-has-meant-at-least-10000-fewer-legal-abortions/
Overturning Roe Has Meant At Least 10,000 Fewer Legal Abortions
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FiveThirtyEight 's Nate Silver still has three big questions about Election Day. Read his final #midterm #election thoughts: https://abcn.ws/3DPrcKK

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The 3 Big Questions I Still Have About Election Day: With less than 24 hours to go until we freeze our model, we’re probably not going to see a lot more changes ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-3-big-questions-i-still-have-about-election-day/
The 3 Big Questions I Still Have About Election Day
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The Polls Are Getting Better For Republicans: It is a midterm year after all.
fivethirtyeight.com/features/gop-polls/
The Polls Are Getting Better For Republicans
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What Happened To Stacey Abrams?: Four years ago, Stacey Abrams had the world at her feet. Yes, she had just lost Georgia’s gubernatorial race to Gov ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-happened-to-stacey-abrams/
What Happened To Stacey Abrams?
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The Case For A Democratic Surprise On Election Night: Earlier this week, I spoke with Nathan Redd, a “friend” of mine (actually, a fragment of my alter ego) who ...
fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-case-for-a-democratic-surprise-on-election-night/
The Case For A Democratic Surprise On Election Night
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When will we know the 2022 midterm election results?

Check out FiveThirtyEight 's interactive map for the breakdown: https://abcn.ws/3DJ7fVN

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60 Percent Of Americans Will Have An Election Denier On The Ballot This Fall.

From the Carolinas to California, Montana to Florida ... Show more

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Of the 185 Republican candidates running for House, Senate and governor’s seats who have denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election ... Show more

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Election Day is less than a month away.

FiveThirtyEight is forecasting the race to control the Senate and House. The latest analysis: abcn.ws/3ePsY65

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‘Impressive Rally’ Likely On Deck For Stocks This Week—Here's Why Midterm Elections Typically Bring Good News For The Market
forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2022/11/07/impressive-rally-likely-on-deck-for-stocks-this-week-heres-why-midterm-elections-typically-bring-good-news-for-the-market/
‘Impressive Rally’ Likely On Deck For Stocks This Week—Here's Why Midterm ...
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“It’s satisfying the sense that ‘I’m helping someone’ in a very practical, visible way — but also frustration that this kind of help is necessary ... Show more

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Where do key Senate races stand a week out from Election Day? Here’s what polls show
kentucky.com/news/politics-government/election/article268153752.html
Where do key Senate races stand a week out from Election Day? Here’s what ...
Quick Glance: Biden Warns That America's Democracy Is in Danger in Speech
  • Republicans' "Big Lie" Threatens American Democracy, Says Biden

  • President Biden criticized electoral violence and voter intimidation in a prime-time address only days before Tuesday's midterm elections.

  • In an address delivered Wednesday night, President Biden stated that democracy was at stake in the upcoming midterm elections.

  • Mr. Biden linked the attack to former President Donald J. Trump's "Big Lie" about the 2020 election being rigged.
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Democrats Poised to Pull Off Major Upsets in These 7 States: Some Democratic candidates have may have reason to celebrate on election night despite expectations ...
newsweek.com/democrats-poised-pull-off-major-upsets-these-7-states-1756581
Democrats Poised to Pull Off Major Upsets in These 7 States
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GOP Wave May Not Net As Many Seats As Prior Midterms—Here Are The Close Races To Watch
forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2022/11/07/gop-wave-may-not-net-as-many-seats-as-prior-midterms-here-are-the-close-races-to-watch/
GOP Wave May Not Net As Many Seats As Prior Midterms—Here Are The Close ...
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Joe Biden's Approval Rating Is Falling at the Worst Possible Time for Him: A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll found the president's approval rating is just 39 percent ...
newsweek.com/joe-biden-approval-rating-falling-worst-possible-time-midterms-1754755
Joe Biden's Approval Rating Is Falling at the Worst Possible Time for Him
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Republicans are starting to open up a pretty significant gap on some of the biggest issues that motivate voters—inflation, crime, issues around the economy ... Show more

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Fox News Poll Gives Joe Biden Highest Approval Rating in Nine Months: In the previous survey from the network, Biden had an approval rating of 43 percent.
newsweek.com/fox-news-poll-gives-joe-biden-highest-approval-rating-nine-months-1752339
Fox News Poll Gives Joe Biden Highest Approval Rating in Nine Months